The Philadelphia Phillies (26-29) and Milwaukee Brewers (33-24) meet Wednesday for the middle game of a 3-game series at American Family Field. The contest is slated to start at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Tied 2-2 after Philadelphia won the series opener 3-2 Tuesday.
The Phillies have won 5 consecutive games. Tuesday’s contest represented a rare victory in a 1-run game: the Phils are now just 5-10 across 15 such games.
The Brewers have lost 4 in a row and 6 of their last 7 contests. The Milwaukee offense has batted .212/.287/.351 (.638 OPS) since May 22.
Phillies at Brewers projected starters
RHP Aaron Nola vs. RHP Adrian Houser
Nola (3-4, 3.92 ERA) makes his 12th start of the season. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 through 66 2/3 IP.
- Bounced off a 109-pitch effort May 26 with a shaky start in his last (5 runs allowed in 5 IP to the San Francisco Giants last Wednesday). Has now been off-kilter in 3 straight starts after 100-pitch games.
- Threw 7 scoreless innings vs. Milwaukee April 24.
- Tough on lefty batters (.167 batting average against) which is a key against a Brewer nine that offers up more lefty at bats vs. right-handed pitchers than the MLB average.
Houser (3-5, 3.51 ERA) is tabbed for his 11th start of the year. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 51 1/3 IP.
- Has clocked a 1.95 ERA at home.
- Faced Philadelphia April 23 and allowed 3 R on 5 H and 1 BB in 6 IP.
Phillies at Brewers odds and lines
- Money line: Phillies -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Brewers +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Run line (RL): Phillies -1.5 (+125) | Brewers +1.5 (-155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
Phillies at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 6, Brewers 4
Money line
Home run rates on fly balls color these starters as different betting plays: a bet-on for the Nola side and a bet-against on the Houser side. Add in some good mojo for a Philadelphia nine under new manager Rob Thomson and its bullpen being in better shape for this contest.
TAKE PHILADELPHIA (-135).
Run line/Against the spread
The PHILLIES -1.5 (+125) is a solid tag for bettors willing to risk a 1-run win.
Over/Under
Philadelphia owns an MLB-best .761 OPS on the road and has scored 4 or more runs in 7 of its last 8 games. Wednesday sets up as a possible rest day for both closers BACK THE OVER 8.5 (+100).
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