The San Diego Padres (26-14) and San Francisco Giants (22-17) meet Sunday at 4:05 p.m. ET for the finale of a 3-game series at Oracle Park.
Season series: Padres lead 3-2.
The Padres have won the first 2 games of this series, both in 1-run fashion. San Diego heads into this Sunday matinee having won 5 of its last 6 contests.
Friday’s game snapped a 5-game home win streak for the Giants. San Francisco pitching was on fire early in the season with a 2.32 ERA through April 27 but has logged a 5.47 mark since.
Padres at Giants projected starters
LHP MacKenzie Gore vs. LHP Alex Wood
Gore (2-1, 2.17 ERA) — a rookie — owns a 1.21 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 29 IP in 5 starts and 1 relief appearance.
- Has tossed between 5-5 2/3 IP in each of his 5 starts.
- Allowed 3 runs on 7 hits across 5 IP in his last start against the Chicago Cubs May 9.
- Tossed 3 scoreless innings in long relief Tuesday at the Philadelphia Phillies.
Wood (3-2, 3.93 ERA) has logged a 1.40 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 34 1/3 IP across 7 starts.
- Allowed 3 R on 6 H in 4 1/3 IP in his last start Monday at the Colorado Rockies.
- Has held Padres batters to an aggregate .588 OPS in a small sample of 59 plate appearances.
Padres at Giants odds and lines
- Money line: Padres +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Giants -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Run line (RL): Padres +1.5 (-180) | Giants -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
Padres at Giants picks and predictions
Prediction
Giants 4, Padres 2
Money line
The Friars are 9-4 in 1-run games and have an overall record outkicking the coverage of 4.38 runs per game vs. 3.88 RPG allowed. San Diego has the better relief corps in a vacuum, but after a couple close games, the back end of that group will be held in check Sunday.
San Francisco is the play at -135 or better PASS otherwise.
Run line/Against the spread
An outward breeze out is expected in the forecast. That’s less of a concern for Wood than Gore. The veteran Giants hurler gets more ground balls.
With a solid Under, a ML play — at a better price — would be more advisable. But at current prices, some bettors may want to hold their noses and go with SAN FRANCISCO -1.5 (+145).
Over/Under
Both offenses have some quality-of-contact figures that point to their surface numbers being a bit overcooked. With Wood starting for the Giants THEUNDER 7.5 (-108) HAS VALUE.
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