Game: Air Force Falcons at Colorado State Rams
Date: Friday, November 28
Time: 3:00 PM EST
Venue: Sonny Lubick Stadium, Fort Collins, CO
Spread: Air Force -2.5
Total: 46.5
Game Preview
The regular season concludes with a classic Mountain West rivalry as the Air Force Falcons travel to Fort Collins to take on the struggling Colorado State Rams. While pride is always on the line in this series, the two programs enter this matchup from opposite ends of the spectrum. Air Force will look to cap its season with a win, while Colorado State hopes to find a bright spot in a difficult year.
Air Force comes into this contest as a slight road favorite, relying on their signature triple-option offense. The Falcons’ methodical, ground-and-pound attack is designed to dominate time of possession, wear down opposing defenses, and limit the other team’s opportunities. To win, Air Force must execute with precision and avoid the turnovers that can derail their long, clock-chewing drives.
On the other side, it has been a season to forget for Colorado State, who limp into the finale with a 2-9 record. The Rams’ struggles have been on both sides of the ball, but the offense faces significant uncertainty heading into this game. According to reports, backup quarterback Tahj Bullock may get the start against the Falcons. This potential change under center highlights the instability the team has faced and makes a tough matchup against the disciplined Air Force defense even more challenging. While detailed injury reports for both teams are limited, the question mark at quarterback is the most significant storyline for the Rams.
Prediction
This matchup heavily favors the visiting Falcons. Rivalry games can be unpredictable, but the fundamental clash of styles points to an Air Force victory. Colorado State’s defense will have its hands full trying to contain the unique triple-option, a difficult task for even the most prepared teams.
The key factor is Colorado State’s offensive instability. Facing a ball-control team like Air Force means every possession is critical, and going into the game with quarterback questions is a recipe for disaster. Air Force’s game plan will be to grind out long drives, keep the Rams’ offense on the sideline, and capitalize on any mistakes. Given CSU’s 2-9 record and personnel uncertainty, it’s difficult to see them keeping pace for a full four quarters.
The spread is surprisingly small at -2.5, but Air Force’s disciplined approach and superior execution should be more than enough to win by at least a field goal on the road.
The Pick: Air Force -2.5
Score Prediction: Air Force 24, Colorado State 17
Sources:
US Air Force Injury Surveillance 2021 Summary
Supervisor’s Mishap Report
Air Force Falcons Injuries 2025-2026 – Updated NCAAF Injury Report
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