This Saturday night, Viviane “Vivi” Araujo (+220) faces off against Tracy Cortez (-260) in a pivotal women’s flyweight bout. Here’s a breakdown of the fight and a prediction:
Viviane Araujo:
- Araujo is a well-rounded fighter with solid striking and grappling skills. She is known for her aggressive style and willingness to engage. However, she has struggled against top-tier competition in the past, often falling short against fighters with strong wrestling or grappling. Her cardio can also be a question mark in longer fights.
Tracy Cortez:
- Cortez is a strong wrestler with a relentless top game. She excels at controlling opponents on the ground and landing ground and pound. Her striking is improving but still not on par with her grappling. Cortez is typically very durable and difficult to finish. She’s riding a significant win streak and appears to be gaining confidence with each performance.
Analysis:
This fight presents a classic striker vs. grappler matchup. Araujo will need to use her striking to keep Cortez at bay and avoid getting taken down. If she can dictate the pace and keep the fight standing, she has a chance to win. However, Cortez’s wrestling and top control will be a significant threat. If Cortez can consistently get Araujo to the mat, she will likely control the fight and potentially secure a finish or win a dominant decision.
Prediction:
While Araujo’s striking is a threat, Cortez’s wrestling and relentless pressure are likely to be the deciding factors. I predict Tracy Cortez will win by unanimous decision or late TKO due to ground and pound. The -260 line reflects Cortez’s favored status, and while a straight bet offers modest return, it’s a reasonable play considering the matchup. Looking for a prop bet on Cortez winning by decision might offer better value.
Sources:
MMA Fighting: UFC, Mixed Martial Arts (MMA) News, Results
MMA Global | #ShapeTheFuture of Marketing
Mixed martial arts – Wikipedia
MMA on ESPN – UFC, PFL and Bellator Fights Coverage
MMA: Mixed Martial Arts
Maine Maritime Academy – ENGINEERING, MANAGEMENT …
Ipsos MMA – Marketing Measurement & Optimization Solutions
Massachusetts Municipal Association (MMA)
The Music Modernization Act | U.S. Copyright Office
MMA/PA gel™ for Organic Acidemias | Vitaflo™