The Pittsburgh Steelers will have a chance to clinch the AFC North title when they visit the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday afternoon. However, with 3 weeks remaining the division is still very much in the balance. Pittsburgh is 10-4, while Baltimore is just 1 game back at 9-5.
Here is my Same Game Parlay for the festivities, which get underway at 4:30 pm ET on FOX. Also be sure to check out our full Steelers vs Ravens predictions.
Steelers +6.5 (-115)
Russell Wilson Over 206.5 passing yards (-110)
Derrick Henry to score a touchdown (-175)
Parlay odds: +417
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is some of the plan here, as Pittsburgh quarterback Russell Wilson passing for plenty of yards would obviously work well with a Steelers cover. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the case with backing Baltimore running back Derrick Henry to score a touchdown. But even if he does, there is no reason why the visitors can’t keep this one close. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
Steelers +6.5 (-115)
We have another AFC North showdown on our hands, and if there is one thing this division has taught us over the years it’s to expect extremely competitive contests – even when they not necessarily should be on paper. Well, this one should be. These are the 2 best teams in the division this year and both are heading straight for the playoffs. If the Steelers clinch on Saturday, the biggest factor will be their sweep of the Ravens (Pittsburgh prevailed 18-16 at home on November 17). Baltimore’s offense struggling in this matchup is nothing new. Lamar Jackson has 5 touchdown passes and 8 interceptions while going 1-4 in his last 5 starts against the Steelers. I’m not saying Pittsburgh is definitely going to win outright yet again, but at the very least it should be within 1 possession. The underdog is 19-2-3 ATS in this head-to-head matchup during the Mike Tomlin-Jim Harbaugh era.
Derrick Henry to score a touchdown (-175)
There’s no need to overthink putting this leg in the parlay. Henry is a borderline lock to score every time he takes the field, and even at -175 odds it gives the payout a serious boost since it conflicts a bit with Pittsburgh covering the spread. However, the Steelers can simply accept Henry finding the endzone as a given; as long as they contain everyone else, they will likely be in good shape – if not to win then at least to cover. Henry has scored 15 touchdowns this season (13 rushing, 2 receiving) to go along with his 1,474 yards on the ground. The former Alabama standout delivered 1 TD against Pittsburgh last month and can be counted on for at least 1 more tally this weekend.