In this article we will formulate a Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, November 27th at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 11-7-2 this year after they defeated Colorado by a score of 8-2 in their last game. Tampa Bay scored five goals in the first period and they were able to coast to the victory. The Lightning out shot Colorado by a total of 33-25, won 62.7% of the face-offs, and went 2-2 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay got goals from Cirelli, Eyssimont, Glendening, Guentzel (2), Kucherov, Point, and Perbix, while Vasilevskiy stopped 23 out of 25 shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Lightning lost to Dallas by a score of 4-2 and Columbus by a score of 7-6. Tampa Bay has scored 3.80 goals per game and they have allowed 3.00 goals against per game, while also going 23% on the power play and 77.4% on the penalty kill this season. Nikita Kucherov has led Tampa Bay with 12 goals, 20 assists, and 76 shots on goal, while Andrei Vasilevskiy is 10-6-1 with a 2.26 goals against average and a .915 save percentage this year. 

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals are 14-6-1 this season after they defeated Florida by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Washington trailed 1-0 in the first period, but they scored the last four goals in the game for the win. The Capitals out shot Florida by a total of 31-21, won 57.9% of the face-offs, and went 1-4 on the power play in the game. Washington got goals from Eller (2), Miroshnichenko, and Chychrun, while Thompson stopped 20 out of 21 shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Capitals lost to New Jersey by a score of 3-2 and Colorado by a score of 2-1. Washington has scored 4.05 goals per game and they have allowed 2.67 goals against per game, while also going 17.5% on the power play and 85.5% on the penalty kill this season. Dylan Strome has led Washington with six goals, 23 assists, and 33 shots on goal, while Charlie Lindgren is 5-5-0 with a 2.64 goals against average and a .901 save percentage. 

Why the Lightning will beat the Capitals

• The Lightning have won each of their last five night games following a home win.
• The Capitals have lost four of their last five games at Amalie Arena.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last eight Wednesday games at Amalie Arena.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine Wednesday games.
• The Lightning have won the second period in each of their last nine Wednesday games as home favorites.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Lightning’s last four games against the Capitals following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Five of the Capitals’ last six games at Amalie Arena following a road win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last six road games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in 17 of the Lightning’s last 18 games against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Cirelli has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last six games.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one point in each of the Lightning’s last 17 home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in 10 of the Lightning’s last 11 home games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Jakob Chychrun has scored a goal in four of the Capitals’ last five road games.
• Dylan Strome has recorded at least one point in each of the Capitals’ last six road games.
• Dylan Strome has recorded at least one assist in each of the Capitals’ last six road games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 5th in the league for goals per game this season (3.80).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 8th in the league in power play percentage this season (22.95%).
• The Washington Capitals rank 1st in the league for goals per game this season (4.05).
• The Washington Capitals rank T3rd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (85.51%).

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup after losing two of their last three games, but Tampa Bay will have home ice here. The Lightning are 7-2-1 at home, while the Capitals are 7-2-0 on the road. Washington did get a nice win against Florida in their last game, but they have struggled since Ovechkin went down. Tampa Bay blew out Colorado in their last game and I think they will have more success here. I just don’t trust this Washington team to consistently score with their best player injured, so give me the Lightning at home.