The Tampa Bay Lightning and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Monday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Pick.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Golden Knights, lost to the Senators, and they play the Devils and Wild next. The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 4 goals per game and are scoring on 12.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with 7 goals, Jake Guentzel has 4 assists and Victor Hedman has 12 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.5 goals per game and are killing 73.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 10 goals on 101 shots faced.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Kings, lost to the Rangers, and they play the Blue Jackets and Blues next. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3 goals per game and are scoring on 12.5 percent of their power play opportunities. William Nylander leads Toronto with 3 shots on goal, Max Domi has 5 shots on goal and Auston Matthews has 28 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.2 goals per game and are killing 85 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anthony Stolarz has allowed 7 goals on 111 shots faced, and Dennis Hildeby has given up 2 goals on 23 shots.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last four games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The underdogs have won six of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games at Scotiabank Arena.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 16 games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs.
• The Lightning have won the second period in each of their last five night games at Scotiabank Arena following a road loss.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last three home games against the Lightning.
• Auston Matthews has recorded at least one point in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 15 games as home favorites against the Lightning.
• Mitch Marner has recorded at least one assist in each of his last 12 home appearances against the Lightning after playing less than 20 minutes in the Maple Leafs’ last game.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last 12 games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one point in each of his last 19 appearances with the Lightning as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Nikita Kucherov has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last four games.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

The Toronto Maple Leafs should get the benefit of the doubt at home, and they’re going to win a lot of games this season if the defense continues to play the way it’s played out of the gate. However, the Lightning are off to a strong start at both ends often ice, and you’re not going to get them in the underdog spot often if that continues based on their reputation. Also, the road team has won 7 of the last 10 games between the Lightning and Maple Leafs. I’ll take a stab with the plus money.