Mets vs. Diamondbacks MLB Computer Pick: Arizona To Shine Bright

Author:
Oddstrader

Today’s MLB slate features 16 games! With so many matchups on the horizon, we asked the AI Model to help pick the best three bets for the slate. Here’s one of three bets you’ll want to consider at our top-rated sportsbooks.

For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:

MLB Pick


New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Wednesday, August 28, 2024 – 09:40 PM ET at Chase Field


The AI Model projects the Diamondbacks will outscore the Mets 4.5-4. With Arizona as a -130 favorite, the Diamondbacks have enough value here.

Making Sense Of Luis Severino

Over the last month, Luis Severino has struck out nearly 24% of batters and has walked just 7.7%. However, he’s also allowed a .219 ISO and wOBA of .364 to his last 117 batters.

Although Severino has induced nearly 45% of ground balls and has kept his fly balls down, he’s still allowing a high rate of line drives. That’s what has hurt him. There’s a good chance it’ll hurt him again against an Arizona lineup that has hit a .252 ISO and wOBA of .406 over the last month against righties.

Believing in Eduardo Rodriguez

The Mets have a few bats that hit lefties well. However, the majority of the lineup has been weak. The Mets will face Eduardo Rodriguez, who has struggled with righties lately, allowing a .255 ISO and wOBA of .389 over the last month.

Ultimately, New York has hit a .182 ISO and wOBA of .333. But if you take away Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso, and J.D. Martinez, the lineup could be better against lefties.

The Pick

Let’s side with the AI Model and back Arizona at -130.

MLB Pick: Diamondbacks ML (-130) at Caesars Sportsbook

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

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