We’re hopeful the AI Model can continue its red-hot success in the MLB. With today’s 15-game slate, we asked the Model for three of its favorite bets. Here’s one of the three, with an in-depth analysis you should consider before heading to our top-rated sportsbooks.
For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:
MLB Pick
- Over 8.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Sunday, July 28, 2024 – 04:10 PM ET at Chase Field
Our AI Model believes we’ll get 9.4 runs in today’s Pirates-Diamondbacks matchup. However, Bet365 is only carrying an 8.5 total for this game. Therefore, the AI Model predicts the over is the play.
Lefties Light Up Keller
Mitch Keller will pitch for the Pirates. He’s a righty who has allowed a .375 ISO and a wOBA of .474 to his last 42 lefties.
Keller has struck out only 16.7% of lefties in that time while allowing 54.5% of hard contact to lefties. He’ll likely face more lefties than righties in the Arizona lineup. The five lefties have hit a .245 ISO and wOBA of .350 against righties over the last month.
Arizona certainly has potential against Keller today.
No Stardom For Yilber, Yet
Yilber Diaz is one of the highest-ranked prospects in the Arizona system. But since he was called to the majors, the success hasn’t translated. Diaz has allowed a .220 ISO and wOBA of .358 to his first 64 batters. Those 64 batters have hit just 34% of ground balls and have struck out only 10.9%. That’s nothing to rave about.
Meanwhile, the Pirates have struck out only 15.9% of the time against righties over the last 30 days using the projected lineup. The team also has five batters who have hit an ISO of at least .175 against righties.
The Pirates should also have some success offensively tonight.
The Pick
We’ll back the Over 8.5 in this one.
MLB Pick: Over 8.5 (-110) at Bet365
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
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