The Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies close out their best-of-7 NL Championship Series Tuesday. First pitch in Game 7 at Citizens Bank Park is slated for 8:07 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Series: Tied 3-3
Arizona beat the Phillies 6-1 in Monday’s Game 6 to force a 7th game. The Diamondbacks have won 3 of 4 after falling behind in the series 2-0. On Monday, the Arizona bullpen threw 4 scoreless innings in protecting an early lead set up by 2 home runs and a triple off Philadelphia starter Aaron Nola.
The Phillies lost at home for just the 2nd time since Sept. 21; they are now 12-2 over that stretch. An offense with an OPS approaching .800 over the last month has been held under 2 runs just twice since Sept. 15; both times were in this series.
The winner will meet the Texas Rangers in the World Series.
Diamondbacks at Phillies projected starters
RHP Brandon Pfaadt vs. LHP Ranger Suarez
Pfaadt went 3-9 with a 5.72 ERA in 18 regular-season starts. He logged a 1.41 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 96 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 9 K in 2-1 win vs. Phillies in Thursday’s NLCS Game 3 — his only career start vs. Philadelphia
- 2023 road stats: 1-4, 5.04 ERA in 50 IP
- Postseason: 2.13 ERA in 12 2/3 IP, all this October
Suarez went 4-6 with a 4.18 ERA in 22 regular-season starts. He logged a 1.42 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 125 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 7 K in 2-1 loss vs. Diamondbacks in Thursday’s NLCS Game 3
- 2023 home stats: 1-3, 5.45 ERA in 66 IP across 12 starts
- Last 5 starts vs. Diamondbacks: 0-1, 3.20 ERA in 25 1/3 IP (2022-23)
- Postseason: 0.94 ERA in 28 2/3 IP (2022-23)