NLCS Game 2: Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Author:
SPORTSBOOKWIRE

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies meet Tuesday to continue their best-of-7 NL Championship Series. First pitch in Game 2 at Citizens Bank Park is at 8:07 p.m. ET (TBS).

Series: Phillies lead 1-0

Arizona got to the NLCS by sweeping the Milwaukee Brewers 2-0 in a Wild Card series and the Los Angeles Dodgers 3-0 in an NL Division Series. The Diamondbacks tasted their 1st postseason loss Monday, culling together just 4 hits in losing 5-3 in Philadelphia.

The Phillies are 7-1 with a plus-31 run differential in October. They have good things going on the mound (October ERA of 1.52) and at the plate (.911 OPS in October). Philadelphia is also playing well at home in front of a frenzied fan base. The Phils are 11-1 at home since Sept. 21.

Diamondbacks at Phillies projected starters

RHP Merrill Kelly vs. RHP Aaron Nola

Kelly went 12-8 with a 3.29 ERA across 30 regular-season starts. He logged a 1.19 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 177 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 5 K in 11-2 win at Los Angeles Dodgers Oct. 7, his postseason debut
  • 2023 regular-season road stats: 7-4, 4.07 ERA in 84 IP across 15 starts
  • Career starts vs. Phillies: 1-1, 2.75 ERA in 19 2/3 IP (2019-23)

Nola went 12-9 with a 4.46 ERA across 32 regular-season starts. He logged a 1.15 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 193 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 6 H, 2 R, 1 BB, 9 K in 10-2 win vs. Atlanta Braves last Wednesday
  • 2023 regular-season home stats: 6-3, 3.29 ERA in 87 2/3 IP across 14 starts
  • Last 5 starts vs. Diamondbacks: 2-2, 7.67 ERA in 27 IP (2015-23)
  • Postseason: 3.76 ERA in 38 1/3 IP (2022-23)
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