The Sacramento Kings take on the Golden State Warriors Thursday at the Chase Center for Game 3 of their 1st-round playoff matchup. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Kings vs. Warriors odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Sacramento leads the playoff series 2-0; won regular-season series 3-1
The Kings are now favored (-170) to win the series after Monday’s 114-106 victory in Sacramento. The Warriors shot 13-of-40 from 3, which while not great was way better than the Kings’ 9-of-38. The Kings did shoot 11 more free throws and had 6 fewer turnovers (14-20).
The Steve Kerr-led Warriors have never been down 0-2 in a series. On top of that F Draymond Green has been suspended for this game after stomping on Kings F Domontas Sabonis. But they are playing at home, which gives them the edge.
Kings at Warriors odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub Lines last updated at 12:44 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Kings +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Warriors -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Kings +5.5 (-105) | Warriors -5.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 240.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Kings at Warriors key injuries
Kings
- G Matthew Dellavedova (finger) out
- F Domantas Sabonis (sternum) questionable
Warriors
- F Draymond Green (suspension) out
- F Andre Igoudala (wrist) out
- G Gary Payton II (illness) questionable
- G Jordan Poole (ankle) questionable
- G Ryan Rollins (foot) out
- G Andrew Wiggins (shoulder) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Kings at Warriors picks and predictions
Prediction
Kings 115, Warriors 104
Moneyline
Losing Draymond Green may not seem like a lot, he only averages 8.5 points and 7.2 rebounds, but his presence will be missed. This season the Warriors have just a .333 win percentage without Green suiting up.
The Kings have the 2nd-best road record this season (25-16). And it’s a chance to double-up.
LEAN KINGS +200.
Against the spread
Sacramento covered in 13 of the 20 games they played as a road underdog. Now the Warriors are certainly more formidable at home than on the road, but they are just 3-7 in their last 10 against teams above .500%.
The moneyline is a far better value, but if you need a little insurance BET KINGS +5.5 (-110).
Over/Under
The Warriors have gone Under in 5 of their last 6 games after an ATS loss. The Kings also trend to the Under. They are 5-1 in their last 6 and 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
The 1st game in this series had a 249 total while Game 2 hit 220. And for what’s worth, the 4 totals of the games between the teams this season: 255, 229, 237 and 216.
LEAN UNDER 240.5 (-110).
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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