San Diego Padres at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Author:
SPORTSBOOKWIRE

The San Diego Padres (6-5) and New York Mets (6-5) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Tuesday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.

Season series: Mets lead 1-0.

The Padres had a 3-game win snapped with a 5-0 loss as +117 underdogs in the series opener Monday. San Diego was coming off a 3-1 series win at the Atlanta Braves.

The Mets closed as -127 home favorites in Monday’s win. SS Francisco Lindor and OF Jeff McNeil drove in 2 runs each for the Mets who have won 3 of their last 4 games.

Padres at Mets projected starters

LHP Ryan Weathers vs. LHP David Peterson

Weathers (0-0 3.60 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 2 ER on 5 H and 1 BB with 2 K across 5 IP in his debut vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks on April 3.

  • Started just 1 game in 2022.
  • Posted a 4-7 record with a 5.32 ERA 1.38 WHIP 2.9 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 94 2/3 IP across 18 starts and 12 relief appearances in 2021.
  • Has never faced the Mets in his career.

Peterson (0-1 6.00 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 2.11 WHIP 6.0 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 9 IP.

  • Last start: allowed 5 ER on 5 H and 5 BB with 5 K in 4 IP in a no-decision at the Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday.
  • Went 7-5 with a 3.83 ERA 1.33 WHIP 4.1 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 105 2/3 IP across 19 starts and 9 relief appearances in 2022.
  • Allowed 1 ER on 2 H and 0 BB with 2 K through 2 IP in 2 relief appearances vs. the Padres in the 2022 postseason.

Padres at Mets odds

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mets -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-175) | Mets -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Padres at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6 Mets 5

Moneyline

BET PADRES (+115).

San Diego plays up to the level of its competition and is 5-1 in its last 6 games vs. teams with a winning record. The Mets are 2-9 in their last 11 games vs. winning teams and Peterson wasn’t great against San Diego last year.

The Padres are 6-2 in their last 8 games after scoring 2 or fewer runs in their previous contest and should be able to bounce back Tuesday after getting shut out in the series opener.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

San Diego +1.5 (-175) should hit but there is no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Padres should win straight up. Bet the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-105).

San Diego has been bouncing back offensively after poor performances and the Over is 6-1-1 in its last 8 games after scoring 2 or fewer runs in its previous contest. The Over is 6-1 in New York’s last 7 home games vs. left-handed starters and should cash again Tuesday since both pitchers are capable of giving up a lot of runs early.

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