The Miami Heat (40-35) and Toronto Raptors (37-38) meet Tuesday at Scotiabank Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT).
The Heat failed to cover the spread as 5.5-point home favorites Saturday in a 129-100 loss vs. the Brooklyn Nets. Miami led by as many as 14 points before getting outscored 64-31 in the 2nd half.
The Raptors pushed as 10-point home favorites Sunday with a 114-104 win vs. the Washington Wizards. F O.G. Anunoby scored 29 points for the Raptors, who have won back-to-back games by double-digits.
Toronto is 2-1 straight up and 3-0 against the spread vs. Miami in this season’s series, while the Over has hit in 2 of the meetings. The Raptors won as 3-point home favorites 112-104 as the Over (215.5) cashed in the last meeting on Nov. 16.
Heat at Raptors odds
- Moneyline (ML): Heat +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Raptors -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat +3.5 (-108) | Raptors -3.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Heat at Raptors key injuries
Heat
- G Kyle Lowry (knee) questionable
Raptors
- G Will Barton (ankle) doubtful
- G/F Gary Trent Jr. (elbow) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Heat at Raptors picks and predictions
Prediction
Raptors 117, Heat 108
Moneyline
PASS.
Toronto (-150) is 9-1 in its last 10 home games and should beat Miami, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when the Raptors should win by margin. Bet the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
BET RAPTORS -3.5 (-112).
Toronto has been playing up to the level of its competition lately and is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games vs. teams with a winning record. The Raptors have also been dominant at Scotiabank Arena and are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Miami is not a good bounce-back team and is just 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games after a loss by more than 10 points. Toronto is a much better team at home and the Heat should struggle to keep it close.
Over/Under
BET OVER 219.5(-110).
The Over is 6-2 in Miami’s last 8 games and 18-6 in its last 24 after a double-digit loss at home.
The Over has hit in 5 of Toronto’s last 6 games vs. teams with a winning record and is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. While Erik Spoelstra and Nick Nurse are both defensive-minded coaches, this number is just low enough that the Over should hit.