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The Memphis Grizzlies (40-26) open 3-game road trip Monday taking on the Dallas Mavericks (34-34) for the 2nd consecutive game. Tip-off at American Airline Center is 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN).
The Grizzlies have won 2 straight games, including Saturday’s 1st game of the home-and-home against Dallas. Memphis won 112-108, but failed to cover the 8-point spread as home favorites. They are 8-5 in their last 13 games and have been streaky. They won 3 in a row, lost 3 in a row and currently have won 2 in a row.
The Mavericks have lost 2 games in a row and have only 3 wins in their last 8 games. All 3 of those wins are at home.
The teams have split their 2 matchups, each winning on their home court. The Mavericks covered the spread in both games.
Grizzlies at Mavericks odds
- Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Mavericks +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies -1.5 (-110) | Mavericks +1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Grizzlies at Mavericks key injuries
Grizzlies
- C Steven Adams (knee) out
- F Branndon Clarke (Achilles) out
- F Jake LaRavia (back) out
- G Ja Morant (not with team) out
- G Vince Williams (shoulder) out
Mavericks
- G Luke Doncic (thigh) out
- G Kyrie Irving (foot) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Grizzlies at Mavericks picks and predictions
Prediction
Mavericks 113, Grizzlies 108
Moneyline
A matchup that should have been Morant vs. Doncic now had neither player and Irving might miss the game, too. The Grizzlies are 6-7 without Morant in the lineup, but have won 2 in a row. The Mavericks are 3-8 without Doncic in the lineup.
The Grizzlies have struggled on the road this season at 12-21 and Mavericks have been solid at home at 22-13. But the home-road splits are hard to ignore. Because the Mavs play so much better at home and have positive odds on the moneyline, I like this bet.
BET MAVERICKS (+105).
Against the spread
The Mavericks are only 25-41-2 ATS on the season, the 2nd-worst mark in the NBA and they are 12-21-2 ATS at home. However, the Grizzlies aren’t a good bet on the road, either. They are 11-22 ATS on the road.
But because I like the Mavs to win outright, the ATS bet doesn’t come into play PASS.
Over/Under
Their matchup in Memphis on Saturday had 220 total points and their game in Dallas in October had 233 points in a big Dallas win.
The Under is 4-0-1 in the Grizzlies’ last 5 games following a win. The Under is 5-1 in the Mavericks’ last 6 games playing a team with a winning record.
BET UNDER 224.5 (-110).