The Memphis Grizzlies (40-26) open 3-game road trip Monday taking on the Dallas Mavericks (34-34) for the 2nd consecutive game. Tip-off at American Airline Center is 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN).
The Grizzlies have won 2 straight games, including Saturday’s 1st game of the home-and-home against Dallas. Memphis won 112-108, but failed to cover the 8-point spread as home favorites. They are 8-5 in their last 13 games and have been streaky. They won 3 in a row, lost 3 in a row and currently have won 2 in a row.
The Mavericks have lost 2 games in a row and have only 3 wins in their last 8 games. All 3 of those wins are at home.
The teams have split their 2 matchups, each winning on their home court. The Mavericks covered the spread in both games.
Grizzlies at Mavericks odds
- Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Mavericks +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies -1.5 (-110) | Mavericks +1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Grizzlies at Mavericks key injuries
- C Steven Adams (knee) out
- F Branndon Clarke (Achilles) out
- F Jake LaRavia (back) out
- G Ja Morant (not with team) out
- G Vince Williams (shoulder) out
- G Luke Doncic (thigh) out
- G Kyrie Irving (foot) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Grizzlies at Mavericks picks and predictions
Mavericks 113, Grizzlies 108
A matchup that should have been Morant vs. Doncic now had neither player and Irving might miss the game, too. The Grizzlies are 6-7 without Morant in the lineup, but have won 2 in a row. The Mavericks are 3-8 without Doncic in the lineup.
The Grizzlies have struggled on the road this season at 12-21 and Mavericks have been solid at home at 22-13. But the home-road splits are hard to ignore. Because the Mavs play so much better at home and have positive odds on the moneyline, I like this bet.
BET MAVERICKS (+105).
Against the spread
The Mavericks are only 25-41-2 ATS on the season, the 2nd-worst mark in the NBA and they are 12-21-2 ATS at home. However, the Grizzlies aren’t a good bet on the road, either. They are 11-22 ATS on the road.
But because I like the Mavs to win outright, the ATS bet doesn’t come into play PASS.
Their matchup in Memphis on Saturday had 220 total points and their game in Dallas in October had 233 points in a big Dallas win.
The Under is 4-0-1 in the Grizzlies’ last 5 games following a win. The Under is 5-1 in the Mavericks’ last 6 games playing a team with a winning record.
BET UNDER 224.5 (-110).