NFL Week 17 best bets, picks and predictions on Prophet Exchange: Dolphins have value as an underdog

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We have arrived at Week 17 of the 2022 NFL campaign, and with the regular season winding down it would be a good time to take your football betting to Prophet Exchange.

If you are not familiar with sports betting exchanges, you might want to take a look at this guide to betting with Prophet Exchange in addition to exchange betting terminology before diving in and making your wagers. As the name suggests, a sports betting exchange is a platform for exchanging bets from one bettor to another without the need for a bookmaker to set the odds for each outcome. Users can either set their own odds and hope another user will be willing to take the bet, or they can peruse the market to see what odds other users are willing to make and jump on one of those offers.

For example, this Sunday the Steelers are +135 underdogs against the Ravens (-155) at most sportsbooks. At those ‘books you can only bet on those 2 teams at those 2 prices. With a sports betting exchange, however, that’s not the case. You could try to get Pittsburgh at +145 and if someone is willing to take your offer and grab Baltimore at -145 then a match is made.

One especially important aspect of Prophet Exchange that must be noted is against the spread odds are all available at +100 odds as opposed to the -110 juice you generally encounter at most sportsbooks. That is because in an exchange you are betting against other bettors instead of against the sportsbook; and afterward, Prophet Exchange takes a commission from the winnings. Needless to say, making a wager at +100 instead of -110 is a huge advantage – especially adding it up over time.

With that, let’s take a look at some best bets for NFL Week 17 that can be made at Prophet Exchange.

Miami Dolphins +2.5 (-110) vs New England Patriots

New England needs to win out for the rest of the season to make the postseason. That starts with beating Miami, but the Dolphins also need to win out or have the Jets lose a game. In this crucial matchup, it’s possible that Tua Tagovailoa will not be cleared to play as he’s entered the concussion protocol for the second time of the season. It might be in Tagovailoa’s best interest to sit out, but the Dolphins have not announced a decision yet. I anticipate that Teddy Bridgewater will be the starter on Sunday, and even though they are facing a backup, the Patriots do not deserve to be favorites.

You could argue that it’s been back-to-back weeks with bad luck for the Patriots, but I’m not sold. Last week they scored 18 unanswered points and had the ball with a chance to win in the final minutes, but a fumble ruined the comeback. And we all know about the ending in their Week 14 matchup against the Raiders, so I won’t elaborate on that. The bottom line is Mac Jones is not on the same page with Matt Patricia, which has caused their passing attack to be miserable. It’s clear that Patricia wants to run the ball with Rhamondre Stevenson and do short screen passes that gain a yard or two instead of running a play-action or taking a deep shot down the field. The New England offense is not capable of putting together a 5+ minute drive that finishes with a touchdown, as it seems they consider a field goal a win. I’m staying far away from the Patriots, even if that means backing the Dolphins without Tua.

Minnesota Vikings +3.5 (-120) vs Green Bay Packers

The Vikings have already won the division, but the Packers are fighting hard to secure an unlikely wild-card spot. That in itself should be enough of an incentive for Minnesota to not take their foot off the gas, and the Vikings look like good value to cover the spread in this matchup. The Packers have won each of their last 3 games, but I’m not buying them being back in form just yet. Two of those victories came over the hapless Bears and Rams, while the Christmas Day win over the Dolphins was largely due to Tua Tagovailoa playing while injured. Now they have to turn their attention to the 12-3 Vikings, who followed up their miracle Colts win with a solid success against the Giants.

Minnesota continues to be doubted by the sportsbooks, but they’re getting it done, and Kirk Cousins is putting up passing yards for fun right now while aided by Justin Jefferson. Now they get to go up against a Packers defense that has allowed the 6th-most passing yards per attempt in the NFL. Green Bay might have improved, but I’m still not sold on this team as a viable contender. They’ve also only won 4 of their 7 games at Lambeau Field this season, so I’m not buying the Frozen Tundra as a Packers fortress this season either. All things considered, the Vikings should at least be able to keep this one within a field goal.

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