The Utah Jazz (19-16) battle the San Antonio Spurs (10-22) at the AT&T Center Monday. Tip from San Antonio is set for 8 p.m. ET.
The Spurs lost to the Orlando Magic 133-113 Friday, failing to cover as 6-point road underdogs. San Antonio started the season strong, but has lost 4 of its last 5. The Spurs are just 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in the last 5 games. They rank last in opponents’ points per game (120.2), opponents’ field goal percentage (50.6%), and opponents’ 3-point field goal percentage (39.3%).
Utah beat the Washington Wizards 120-112 Thursday, covering as 7-point home favorites. The Jazz have been surprisingly good this season, posting a 19-16 record and a 20-15 ATS record. They are just 7-11 straight up on the road. Utah has covered 5 of its last 7 games though.
- Moneyline (ML): Jazz -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Spurs +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
- Against the spread (ATS): Jazz -4.5 (-110) | Spurs +4.5 (+100)
- Over/Under (O/U): 235.5 (O: -103 | U: -107)
Jazz at Spurs key injuries
Jazz
- None
Spurs
- None
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Jazz at Spurs picks and predictions
Prediction
Jazz 122, Spurs 115
Moneyline
PASS.
The Spurs have struggled lately, but the Jazz are just 7-11 on the road. The odds are justified, but backing a road favorite at (-190) doesn’t make sense. Similarly, the Spurs haven’t been good enough recently to back at (+160).
Against the spread
BET JAZZ -4.5 (-110).
The Jazz are 10-8 ATS as a road team this season. Similarly, the Spurs are 7-9 ATS as the home team.
Utah continues to surprise fans, but behind F Lauri Markkanen, which San Antonio may not have an answer for, Utah has performed well against the spread on the road.
The Jazz sit 6th in offensive rebounding rate while the Spurs are 26th in defensive rebounding rate. Utah is going to have second-chance opportunities which should mean it can pull ahead with ease.
Considering the season-long trends and that strength-on-weakness, and ultimately, back the JAZZ -4.5 (-110).
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 235.5 (-103).
Utah is 18-17 O/U while San Antonio is 16-15-1 O/U. As noted earlier, the Spurs’ defense has been among the worst in the NBA which justifies this sky-high total. They also sit 8th in pace with the Jazz 13th, so this game should be played at a high tempo.
With Utah set to get extra opportunities on the glass and the Spurs having a fully healthy roster with offensive weapons like F Keldon Johnson, back the OVER 235.5 (-103), but considering the high total, only play this for a partial unit.