The San Antonio Spurs (5-4) are on the road Saturday for the first game of a home-and-home with the Denver Nuggets (5-3). Tip-off is at 9 p.m. ET at Ball Arena.
The Spurs lost their last 2 games at home on the heels of winning 5 of 6 overall. They lost 113-106 to the Los Angeles Clippers Friday, allowing F Paul George to score 32 points. G Devin Vassell led the Spurs with 29 points off the bench in a losing effort.
The Nuggets have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming off a 122-110 road win over the Oklahoma City Thunder Thursday, covering as 6.5-point favorites. F Aaron Gordon led the team with 27 points and C Nikola Jokic had a triple-double in the win (15 points, 13 rebounds, 14 assists).
Spurs at Nuggets odds
- Moneyline (ML): Spurs +440 (bet $100 to win $440) | Nuggets -650 (bet $650 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Spurs +11.5 (-110) | Nuggets -11.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 235.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Spurs at Nuggets key injuries
Spurs
- Not yet submitted
Nuggets
- G Bones Hyland (hip) questionable
- G Collin Gillespie (leg) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Spurs at Nuggets picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 119, Spurs 110
Moneyline
The Spurs are 3-1 on the road this season, while the Nuggets are a perfect 3-0 at home.
The Nuggets average 115.1 points per game and the Spurs allow the 2nd-most points in the league at 120.7 per game.
I like the Nuggets (-650) for the home win but the moneyline lacks value.
PASS.
Against the spread
The Nuggets do not typically follow up convincing wins with another convincing win. They are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win of 10 or more points, dating back to last season. They had a 12-point win over the Thunder Thursday.
The Spurs lost by 6 in their last game, failing to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. They are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games dating to last season.
BET SPURS +11.5 (-110).
Over/Under
The Spurs may allow the 2nd-most points per game in the league (120.7), but this is a high projected total.
None of the Nuggets’ last 4 games have passed this projected total.
Half of the Spurs’ games this season have not reached 236 total points.
BET UNDER 235.5 (-110).