ALDS Game 2: Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Author:
SPORTSBOOKWIRE

The Cleveland Guardians and the New York Yankees meet Thursday in Game 2 of the best-of-5 an AL Division Series at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:37 p.m. ET (TBS).

Series: Yankees lead 1-0; won regular-season series 5-1

The Guardians took a 1-0 lead in top of the 3rd in Game 1 but the Yankees tied it in the bottom of the inning and added 3 more runs in the 5th and 6th inning to post the 4-1 win.

Cleveland has now dropped 7 straight games in the ALDS round while going 0-5 in the last 5 divisional playoff games on the road. It is also 0-6 in the last 6 playoff road games overall.

New York has been just the opposite winning 4 of the last 5 in the ALDS round at home while going 55-21 in the last 76 games overall at Yankee Stadium.

Guardians at Yankees projected starters

RHP Shane Bieber vs. LHP Nestor Cortes Jr.

Bieber allowed 1 ER 3 H and 1 BB with 8 K in 7 2/3 IP in a win over the Tampa Bay Rays Friday in the Wild Card round.

  • Is 8-3 with a 2.65 ERA with 121 K and a .235 opponent batting average in 119 IP in 18 road outings
  • Hasn’t faced the Yankees since April 21 2021 allowing 2 ER 4 H and 3 BB with 9 K in 7 IP in a loss in Cleveland

Cortes (12-4 2.44 ERA) made 28 regular-season starts. He had a 0.92 WHIP 2.2 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 158 1/3 IP.

  • Was 6-1 with a sparkling 1.95 ERA and .161 opponent BA with 89 K and just 5 HR allowed in 87 2/3 IP in 15 home starts
  • Went 1-0 with a 2.19 ERA with 14 K 2 BB and just 4 H allowed across 12 1/3 IP in 2 starts vs. Cleveland in the regular season

Guardians at Yankees odds

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Yankees -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-200) | Yankees -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -101 | U: -120)

Guardians at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 3 Guardians 1

Moneyline

The YANKEES (-140) are a strong play at home. New York has been money at home in the postseason while the Guardians (+115) have shown an inability in recent seasons to get it done on the road.

This will be a well-pitched game as Bieber will have Cleveland it in until the late innings. But Cortes has been amazing at home and he pitched well against the Guardians in the regular season too.

Run line/Against the spread

YANKEES -1.5 (+150) is worth playing at least a half-unit although you might have to sweat it out until the later innings. New York won Game 1 by a 4-1 count and didn’t secure the cover until the 6th inning. Expect a similar outcome here.

Over/Under

UNDER 6.5 (-120) is the best play on the board. Bieber and Cortes will post plenty of donuts early on and the runs will be at a premium in Game 2.

The Under is 9-3 in the lst 12 playoff road games for the Guardians while going 5-1 in the last 6 games overall for the Yankees and 4-1 in the previous 5 games at home.

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