Baltimore Orioles at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Author:
SPORTSBOOKWIRE

The Baltimore Orioles (74-67) and Washington Nationals (49-93) finish their 2-game series at Nationals Park with Wednesday’s 1st pitch at 7:05 p.m.

Season series: Orioles lead 2-1

The Nationals took a 3-1 lead into the 4th inning before the Orioles scored 3 unanswered runs to win 4-3. Baltimore 1B Ryan Mountcastle homered off former teammate RHP Hunter Harvey in the 5th to tie the game.

The Nationals used 7 pitchers to get through Tuesday’s game and will look to LHP Patrick Corbin to even the series. The Orioles are now 5 games back of the final wild-card spot.

Orioles at Nationals projected starters

RHP Tyler Wells vs. LHP Patrick Corbin

Wells (7-6, 3.91 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 96 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: 2 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, on Sept. 7th as part of a limited outing after returning from the injured list
  • Has a 3.76 road ERA vs 4.09 in home games.

Corbin (6-18, 6.30 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.70 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 141 1/3 IP.

  • Leads MLB in hits allowed (195), losses (18), and ER runs (99)
  • Allows .917 OPS versus right-handed batters

Orioles at Nationals odds

  • Money line (ML): Orioles -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Nationals +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+115) | Nationals +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Orioles at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Nationals 3

Money line

For interleague games, these teams trend in opposite directions. The Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games when facing a left-handed starter. The Nationals are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague home games against teams with a winning record.

BET ORIOLES -145

Run line/Against the spread

The Orioles were unable to cover the last game, despite their MLB leading 88-53 ATS. You can still get plus money picking the Orioles which is good enough for me.

LEAN ORIOLES -1.5 (+115).

Over/Under

The Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games after a loss. The Orioles lean toward the Over in the 2nd game of a series, hitting it 12 of the last 19 games.

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-107).

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