The Milwaukee Brewers (70-62) wrap up their 4-game road series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (63-69) Sunday. First pitch from Chase Field is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Diamondbacks lead 2-1
After losing the first 2 games of the series, the Brewers bounced back with an 8-6 win Saturday. They rallied with runs in the 8h and 9th innings to tie the game and scored 2 in the 10th to win. They are 5-6 in their last 11 games.
The Diamondbacks, despite the loss Saturday, have won 7 of their last 9 games. They are 16-10 in their last 26 games.
Brewers at Diamondbacks projected starters
RHP Jason Alexander vs. RHP Zac Gallen
Alexander (2-1, 4.97 ERA) makes his 9th start and 16th appearance. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 through 58 IP.
- Is making just his second start since July 12 after which he appeared 5 times out of the bullpen before getting another start
- Went 5 innings and allowed 1 run against the Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday in his last start
- Is 2-1 with 4.04 ERA and 1.54 WHIP across his 8 starts
Gallen (10-2, 2.53 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 145 2/3 IP.
- Enters on a 34 1/3 scoreless-inning streak spanning 5 starts
- Arizona has won 7 of his last 8 starts and is 16-9 when he pitches
Brewers at Diamondbacks odds and lines
- Money line (ML): Brewers +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Diamondbacks -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-150) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+122)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
Brewers at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 5, Brewers 2
Money line
Gallen has been dominant over the last month. He has not allowed a run in his last 5 starts and has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 19 of his 25 outings all season.
The Diamondbacks are rolling as well, having won 7 of their last 9 games.
The Brewers have lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
Take the DIAMONDBACKS (-175).
Run line/Against the spread
The Diamondbacks have not been favored many times this year. They are 18-17 ATS as the favorite. Their 77-55 ATS record overall this season is the 3rd-best in all of baseball.
The Brewers have the worst ATS record in baseball this season at 55-77 ATS.
Arizona’s last 6 wins when Gallen starts have all been by at least 2 runs.
Take the DIAMONDBACK -1.5 (+122).
Over/Under
With Gallen on the mound, you can’t expect Milwaukee to score much, so it comes down to Arizona’s offense. They have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 games.
Three of Gallen’s last 5 starts have had totals under 8 runs.
Four of the Brewers’ last 5 games have had 7 or fewer total runs.
I LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-107).
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