Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

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The Colorado Rockies (46-57) and San Diego Padres (57-46) open a 5-game series Monday at Petco Park. First pitch is set for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Colorado leads 8-3

The Rockies are on the road after a 6-game home stand that saw them go 2-4 against the Chicago White Sox and Los Angeles Dodgers. Colorado is just 5-12 with a .664 OPS on the road since June 21.

The Padres took 2-of-3 games from the Minnesota Twins over the weekend and are 5-4 since the break. They are just 2-8 over their last 10 games against the Rockies, but only 2 of those losses came at home.

Rockies at Padres projected starters

RHP Antonio Senzatela vs. RHP Mike Clevinger

Senzatela (3-5, 4.90 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.74 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 through 71 2/3 IP.

  • Owns a 3.30 ERA over his last 5 starts against San Diego.
  • Was removed from his last start Wednesday vs. Chicago White Sox after being hit on the left foot by a come-backer.

Clevinger (2-3, 3.38 ERA) owns a 1.13 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 53 1/3 IP over 10 starts and 1 relief appearance.

  • Current Colorado batters own an aggregate .607 OPS against him.
  • Bracketed the All-Star break with 2 solid starts in which he logged a 2.08 ERA.

Rockies at Padres odds and lines

  • Money line: Rockies +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Padres -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (-125) | Padres -1.5 (+102)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Rockies at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Rockies 3

Money line

Colorado has the 2nd-worst road record in the league (16-30) and is tough to bet outright away from Coors Field. The Rockies are a lean but a better play on the run line PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Rockies have the edge in the bullpen fatigue game, and that may well be a big factor with Clevinger making his second start of the second half.

Senzatela’s expected-ERA figures are encouraging enough to warrant a play on the ROCKIES +1.5 (-125).

Over/Under

Senzatela has pitched through the traffic of a .395 batting average on balls in play. Both bullpens figure as having skills being underplayed in surface numbers.

The Padres’ offense has been lackluster at home; Colorado’s offense has been likewise on the road. Both offenses are swung around to their worst platoon side against right-handers.

On a breeze-in evening at pitcher-friendly Petco BACK THE UNDER 7.5 (-112).

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