Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Author:
SPORTSBOOKWIRE

The Los Angeles Dodgers (44-26) and Atlanta Braves (42-31) face each other in the rubber game of their 3-game series in Atlanta. First pitch in ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball game is at 7:08 p.m. ET at Truist Park.

The Dodgers lead the season series 3-2.

The Dodgers took Friday’s series opener 4-1, but lost 5-3 Saturday with starter Max Fried on the mound for the Braves. The loss snapped a 4-game winning streak. They are 7-3 in their last 10 games.

The Braves have won 5 of their last 7 games and 19 of their last 23.

Dodgers at Braves projected starters

RHP Tony Gonsolin vs. RHP Spencer Strider

Gonsolin (9-0, 1.58 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 0.82 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 68 1/3 IP.

  • Has won his last 5 starts and the Dodgers are 10-3 when he takes the mound.
  • Has not allowed more than 2 ERs in any outing this season, but has pitched into the 7th inning only once.

Strider (3-2, 3.40 ERA) makes his 6th start in 17 appearances. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 13.6 K/9 in 47 2/3 IP.

  • Moved into the rotation at the end of May and his last 5 appearances have all been starts.
  • He is 2-1 with a 4.63 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in his 5 starts.

Dodgers at Braves odds and lines

  • Money line (ML): Dodgers -117 (bet $117 to win $100) | Braves -103 (bet $103 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+135) | Braves +1.5 (-170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

Dodgers at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Braves 2

Money line

The Dodgers have the 2nd-most road wins in the majors with 24, but the Braves’ 24 home wins are tied for 2nd in baseball.

The Dodgers took 2 of 3 from the Braves in Los Angeles, losing the middle game. Gonsolin threw 6 scoreless, 1-hit innings in a 5-1 win over the Braves April 20.

Strider allowed 6 runs on 6 hits and a walk in 3 2/3 innings in his last start.

Take the DODGERS (-117).

Run line/Against the spread

When the Dodgers win, it is by multiple runs. Forty of their 44 wins this season have been by more than 1 run.

Of the Braves’ 31 losses, only 8 were by 1 run.

Over/Under

Gonsolin’s last start had 10 total runs but his 5 previous outings have 8 or fewer runs.

Only 1 of the 5 games between the 2 teams has had more than 8 runs.

Five of the Braves’ last 7 games had 8 or fewer runs.

Take UNDER 8.5 (+100).

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