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The Cleveland Guardians (33-28) and Los Angeles Dodgers (40-24) close out their 3-game series with the rubber game Sunday. First pitch is 4:10 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The season series is tied 1-1.
The Guardians took the series opener 2-1 Friday but had a 5-game win streak snapped with a 7-1 loss Saturday. Cleveland is 14-4 in its last 18 games.
The Dodgers moved back into first place in the NL West with their win Saturday. They have won 3 of their last 4 games.
Guardians at Dodgers projected starters
RHP Shane Bieber vs. LHP Andrew Heaney
Bieber (3-3, 3.01 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 71 2/3 IP.
- The Guardians have won his last 4 starts and are 8-4 when he pitches.
- He allowed 3 runs on 9 hits in 6 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Colorado Rockies in his last outing Tuesday.
Heaney (1-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.68 WHIP, 3 BB and 16 K through 10 1/3 IP.
- The Dodgers have won both of Heaney’s starts this season.
- Heaney threw 6 scoreless innings with 1 hit, 3 walks and 11 k in a 9-1 win over the Cincinnati Reds in his last outing April 17.
Guardians at Dodgers odds and lines
- Money line (ML): Guardians +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | Dodgers -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-160) | Dodgers -1.5 (+130)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)
Guardians at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 5, Guardians 2
Money line
The Guardians are 17-18 on the road this season but they had won 4 straight road games and 5 of their last 6 contests before their Saturday loss.
The Dodgers have the 3rd-best home record in the majors at 20-11.
Heaney has started his 2022 season with 10 1/3 scoreless innings in April before a stint on the IL.
Take the DODGERS (-165) to win the rubber game.
Run line/Against the spread
The Guardians are 11-7 ATS in their last 18 games, 33-28 ATS overall and 18-17 ATS on the road.
The Dodgers have covered the spread in 3 of their last 4 games and are 36-28 ATS overall and 17-14 ATS at home.
The key is whether you think the Dodgers will win because 36 of their 40 wins have been by 2 or more runs.
This is the best bet if you like Los Angeles to win. Take the DODGERS -1.5 (+130).
Over/Under
The Dodgers’ win Saturday finished with an 8 total runs. Their previous 5 games had 5 or fewer runs.
Half of the Guardians’ last 8 games had at least 8 runs. Seven of Bieber’s starts have had 7 or fewer runs, while Heaney has not allowed a run all season thus far.
Take UNDER 7.5 (-105).
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