The New York Mets and Los Angeles Angels meet Saturday in MLB action at Angel Stadium. The New York Mets look for a win after splitting their last 8 games. The Los Angeles Angels need a win after losing 15 of their last 16 games.

The New York Mets have scored 9 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 10 games. The Mets have won 10 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jeff McNeil leads the Mets with 63 hits and 28 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Starling Marte have combined for 121 hits and 87 RBI. Carlos Carrasco gets the ball, and he is 7-1 with a 3.52 ERA and 61 strikeouts this season. Carrasco is 3-0 with a 2.02 ERA and 47 strikeouts in his career against the Angels.

The Los Angeles Angels have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 10 games. The Angels have lost 13 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Shohei Ohtani leads the Angels with 55 hits and 34 RBI, while Mike Trout and Jared Walsh have combined for 102 hits and 63 RBI. Michael Lorenzen gets the ball, and he is 5-3 with a 3.69 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. Lorenzen is 0-1 with a 3.15 ERA and 16 strikeouts in his career against the Mets.

The Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 Saturday games and 9-4 in their last 13 overall. The Angels are 1-8 in their last 9 home games and 7-20 in their last 27 overall. The over is 3-1-1 in Mets last 5 overall. The over is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 Saturday games. The over is 4-0-2 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles and 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed 43 hits and 14 earned runs in his last 42 innings, while Michael Lorenzen has given up 32 hits and 17 runs in his last 38.1 innings. Should be a fun pitching matchup, but the bottom line is we’re laying a reasonable price with the Mets to fade an Angels team that’s lost 15 of their last 16 games. It’s hard to back the Angels with any confidence these days. I’ll gladly back the Mets here.