The Washington Nationals (13-27) and Milwaukee Brewers (25-14) continue a 3-game series at American Family Field Saturday. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET.
Season series: Brewers lead 1-0 after a 7-0 shutout Friday.
The Nationals are reeling. They’ve lost 5 straight series. Pitching has been Washington’s primary issue; a 4.99 ERA (28th MLB) has kept the Nats from being competitive.
The Brewers are a robust 13-5 in Cream City. Milwaukee’s pitching has led that home dominance: the Brewers own a 2.47 ERA in their home yard (2nd MLB).
Nationals at Brewers projected starters
LHP Patrick Corbin vs. RHP Brandon Woodruff
Corbin (0-6, 6.28 ERA) is tabbed for his 9th start of the season. He has a 1.68 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 38 2/3 IP.
- Has registered just 3 wins over his last 22 starts.
- Has held current Milwaukee batters to an aggregate .680 OPS.
Woodruff (4-2, 5.35 ERA) owns a 1.37 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 through 33 2/3 IP across 7 starts.
- Logged a 2.56 ERA in 179 1/3 IP last season.
- Has battled through the traffic of a .341 batting average on balls in play.
- Has registered a 2.49 ERA at home since 2020.
Nationals at Brewers odds and lines
- Money line: Nationals +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Brewers -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
- Run line (RL): Nationals +1.5 (-120) | Brewers -1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
Nationals at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 4, Nationals 3
Money line
PASS. Washington is a lukewarm lean, but the juice is drowning out value here.
Run line/Against the spread
The Nats have played a significantly tougher slate so far, and the Brewers have a kind 9-3 mark in 1-run games.
The Brewers are the lean overall, but the price on getting the Nats within 1 run is solid enough.
BACK THE NATIONALS +1.5 (-120).
Over/Under
Milwaukee owns a well-below-average .668 OPS against port-siders. Woodruff is a solid pick to get on a decent roll this summer.
The back ends of both bullpens are in a good shape, and there is some around-the-margins downside to the Brewers’ overall batting production.
BACK THE UNDER 7.5 (-107) but try to wait out a price closer to -102.
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