The Philadelphia Phillies (17-17) seek to complete a 4-game road series sweep Sunday afternoon against the Los Angeles Dodgers (20-12). First pitch is 4:10 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The Phillies are 3-0 against the Dodgers this season after taking the first 3 games of the series in L.A., 9-7, 12-10 and 8-3. They have won 4 games in a row and 6 of their last 8.
The Dodgers have lost 4 games in a row and 5 of their last 6. Their starting pitching ERA has gone from the best in baseball at under 2.00 to 2.51, which is now second place in the league.
Phillies at Dodgers projected starters
RHP Aaron Nola vs. RHP Michael Grove
Nola (1-4, 3.83 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 40 IP.
- Phillies have lost his last 6 starts in a row. Nola is coming off a start in which he allowed 5 R (4 ER) in 5 1/3 innings.
- Is 2-0 with a 3.21 ERA in 5 career starts vs. the Dodgers.
Grove is making his major league debut for the Dodgers. Starting the year at AA Tulsa, he has a 0.98 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 12.1 K/9 through 16 1/3 IP in 5 starts.
Phillies at Dodgers odds and lines
- Money line (ML): Phillies +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Dodgers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-170) | Dodgers -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
Phillies at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 7, Phillies 4
Money line
This series has gone against how the season has gone. The Phillies have scored 29 runs off the Dodgers’ pitching staff, which has not given up many runs this season. They have handed the Dodgers their first home series loss this season. This is also the first time the Dodgers have lost more than 2 games in a row, which suggests they are due to bounce back.
The Phillies have won 4 games in a row for the 2nd time this season. They have not had a longer winning streak than 4 games. And remember they have lost Nola’s last 6 starts.
Take the DODGERS (-145).
Run line/Against the spread
The Dodgers have covered the spread in every victory this season. Every win they have has been by at least 2 runs. They have also been favored in every game so they have not covered the spread in any loss.
The Phillies are 17-17 ATS overall and 9-7 ATS on the road. They have covered the spread in 4 straight games.
Take the DODGERS -1.5 (+135).
Over/Under
Every game this series has had 9 runs or more. Nola’s last 2 starts have had double-digit runs as the total.
I thought the other games this series would stay low-scoring. I guess that wasn’t in the cards.
Take OVER 8.5 (-107).
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