Miami Heat at Philadelphia 76ers Game 6 odds, picks and predictions

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The No. 1 seed Miami Heat head to the Wells Fargo Center Thursday to play No. 3 seed Philadelphia 76ers in a crucial Game 6 of their Eastern Conference semifinals playoff series. Miami leads the series 3-2. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we look at the Heat vs. 76ers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Miami routed Philly 120-85 Tuesday in Game 5. The Heat outperformed the Sixers in all “four factors” and outscored Philly in 3 of the 4 quarters (they tied in the 2nd quarter). The Sixers had a 14-15 assist-to-turnover ratio while the Heat had a 26-14 assist-to-turnover ratio.

Heat SF Jimmy Butler has been the best player in the series, averaging 26.6 points on 53.4% shooting with 7.4 rebounds and 5.8 assists per game and a plus-26 net rating.

The home team has won and covered the first 5 games of this series. The Over/Under (O/U is 2-3.

Heat at 76ers odds and lines

  • Money line (ML): Heat +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | 76ers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Heat +2.5 (-112) | 76ers -2.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under: 207.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Heat at 76ers key injuries

Heat

  • SG Tyler Herro (ankle) questionable
  • PG Kyle Lowry (hamstring) out
  • SF Caleb Martin (ankle) questionable
  • SG Max Strus (hamstring) questionable
  • PF P.J. Tucker (calf) questionable
  • PG Gabe Vincent (knee) questionable

76ers

  • Joel Embiid (facial fracture) questionable

Heat at 76ers picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 105, 76ers 102

Money line

LEAN HEAT (+110).

I like Miami plus the points, but can’t fully get there on the Heat’s ML because it’s not a big enough payout. If Miami’s ML was north of +130, I’d take a stab, but I’d rather grab the Heat’s spread and in-game the Sixers plus points for a “middle” if Miami goes up double digits.

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