Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

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The Kansas City Royals (10-18) and Texas Rangers (12-17) will wrap up their 3-game series Thursday after splitting the first 2 games. First pitch from Globe Life Field will be at 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Rangers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Royals snapped a 3-game losing streak with Wednesday’s 8-2 road win over the Rangers. The Royals offense has been ice cold, ranking 29th in runs scored and 26th in batting average.

The Rangers have alternated wins and losses in their last 5 games. They’ve won 2 of their last 3 series and have gotten back on track a bit after losing 9 of their first 11 games of the season.

Royals at Rangers projected starters

RHP Jonathan Heasley vs. LHP Taylor Hearn

Heasley (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 1st start of the season.

  • Made 3 starts as a rookie in 2021, pitching 14 2/3 innings with a 4.91 ERA and only 3.7 K/9.
  • Made 6 starts at AAA this season and had a 4.44 ERA with an impressive 10.3 K/9.

Hearn (1-2, 6.53 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.84 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 20 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed 2 R in 5 IP with 6 K in last start, a May 1 win against the Atlanta Braves.
  • Rangers are 2-3 in his 5 starts, scoring a total of 22 runs.

Royals at Rangers odds and lines

  • Money line (ML): Royals +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Rangers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-175) | Rangers -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Royals at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 6, Royals 4

Money line

Neither of these teams are title contenders in the American League, struggling out of the gates this season. However, in this matchup the Rangers have the edge. They’re facing a starter who’s pitched 3 games in his career, and one who doesn’t strike out many batters.

The Rangers rank 12th in strikeout rate, so they don’t go down swinging, either. I like the RANGERS (-145) to win outright at home.

Run line/Against the spread

The Rangers are an impressive 17-12 ATS this season, largely because they’ve been underdogs in a good portion of their games. The Royals are only 13-15 ATS, with 8 of their last 9 losses coming by at least 2 runs.

I would LEAN toward the RANGERS -1.5 (+140) but it’s tough to feel great about them covering with a struggling Hearn on the bump.

Over/Under

There were 10 total runs scored in each of the first 2 games of this series, with the Rangers putting up 12 runs and the Royals 8. Texas is going to put the ball in play against Heasley, and Hearn has given up 3 HR in 5 starts.

Bet the OVER 8.5 (-108).

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