Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors Game 4 odds, picks and predictions

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The No. 2 seed Memphis Grizzlies (1-2) hope to even their Western Conference semifinals playoff series with the No. 3 seed Golden State Warriors (2-1) Monday. Game 4 at Chase Center is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. Warriors odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Golden State crushed Memphis 142-112 in Game 3 Saturday thanks to a 73.2% effective field goal rate by the Warriors, led by Steph Curry‘s team-high 30 points on 50.0% shooting (14-for-14 from the foul line).

Memphis PG, and 2021-22 Most Improved Player, Ja Morant is averaging a series-best 38.3 points on 62.3% true shooting (.506/.433/.857) with 6.7 rebounds, 8.3 assists and a plus-17 net rating.

However, the major storyline in the Grizzlies-Warriors series is Morant’s knee injury (and the controversy surrounding it) which may force Morant to miss Game 4.

The Grizzlies are 6-4 straight up (SU) and 7-3 against the spread (ATS) vs. the Warriors in their last 10 meetings and the total is 5-5 Over/Under (O/U) in those contests.

Grizzlies at Warriors odds and lines

  • Money line (ML): Grizzlies +440 (bet $100 to win $440) | Warriors -650 (bet $650 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Grizzlies +10.5 (-112) | Warriors -10.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under: 223.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Grizzlies at Warriors key injuries

Grizzlies

  • PG Ja Morant (knee) doubtful

Warriors

  • SF Andre Iguodala (neck) out
  • SG Gary Payton II (elbow) out

Grizzlies at Warriors picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 117, Grizzlies 110

Money line

PASS with a “lean” to the Grizzlies (+440) because I like their spread, this is such a fat payout and Memphis has shown it can play without Morant if it needs to.

The Grizzlies were 20-5 SU in games Morant missed during the regular season and Morant had a minus-3.2 adjusted on/off net rating, which grades out in the 34th percentile of all point guards, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

However, the Warriors were clicking on a championship-level in Game 3 and I cannot talk myself into a Grizzlies (+440) sprinkle.