Pumas UNAM got the better of Mexican Liga rival Cruz Azul in the first leg of their 2-leg CONCACAF Champions League Semifinal aggregate contest. On Tuesday night, the venue changes from Pumas’ pitch to Cruz Azul’s. On the field in Azteca Stadium, does Cruz Azul have the edge? Will Pumas end their rival’s CL dreams? Or will Cruz Azul mount a comeback and move to the CONCACAF Champions League Finals? Keep reading for CONCACAF Champions League odds, analysis, and a free pick for Pumas UNAM at Cruz Azul. 

CONCACAF CL Semifinals Betting Odds for Cruz Azul v Pumas UNAM

Champions League CONCACAF Semis Leg 2 – Cruz Azul at UNAM

• When: Tuesday, April 12 at 10:00 pm ET

• Where: Azteca Stadium, Mexico City, Mexico 

• Moneyline Odds: Cruz Azul -102 / Pumas UNAM +280 / Draw +245

Why Pumas UNAM will beat Cruz Azul

The road team is in terrific form. Although Pumas drew in their last, a 2-2 match versus Puebla, it came after the over Cruz Azul. Pumas UNAM beat Cruz Azul in the first leg 2-1. Both goals came from Juan Ignacio Dinneno. Unless Cruz Azul figures out how to temper Dinneno’s effectiveness, Pumas UNAM will win the second leg just like they did the first.  

Pumas UNAM Last 5

• D – 2-2 vs. Puebla
• W – 2-1 vs. Cruz Azul 
• W – 1-0 vs. FC Juarez
• D – 1-1 vs. Mazatlan FC
• L – 1-3 vs. Necaxa

Pumas UNAM Predicted Starting Lineup

• Talavera
• Freire
• Ortiz
• Velarde
• Mozo
• Meritao
• Lopez
• Ruvalcaba
• Diogo
• Dinenno
• Corozo

Why Cruz Azul will beat Pumas UNAM

Yes, Pumas UNAM took the first leg, but Cruz Azul accomplished something in the loss. Cruz Azul scored a road goal. More weight goes to road goals on the aggregate. So Cruz Azul can win this match by a single goal and they will take the aggregate as long as Pumas doesn’t score a goal on their pitch. Expect the home team to play for a 1-0 win. Because this happens at Azteca Stadium, Cruz Azul can get it done. 

Cruz Azul Last 5

• D – 1-1 vs. Mazatlan
• L – 2-1 vs. Pumas UNAM
• W – 1-0 vs. Atlas
• L – 1-0 vs. Pachuca
• D – 1-1 vs. CF Montreal

Cruz Azul Predicted Starting Lineup

• Corona

• Abram

• Aguilar

• Aldrete

• Rivero

• Lira

• Baca

• Romero

• Gimenez

• Escobar

• Antuna

Final Betting Analysis: Cruz Azul vs Pumas UNAM

Few soccer rivalries follow a pattern as obvious as Cruz Azul versus Pumas UNAM. Going back to Dec. 6, 2020, the teams have traded wins and losses in the last 5 head-to-head matches.

Often, the team that wins is the home squad. In this case, Cruz Azul should take the victory. The favorite played a very good match in the first leg.

Although Pumas came out with the win, Cruz Azul scored a road goal, which was what they wanted. Azul knew that they had the second leg to make up the other goal. 

So on Tuesday night, all Cruz Azul must do is win this match 1-0. Expect Azul to get it done. On March 12 earlier this year, Azul beat Pumas 2-1 at Azteca Stadium.

Cruz Azul drew in their last match. But they will pick it up versus their biggest rivals. Azul gets the 1-0 victory and heads to the CONCACAF Champions League Finals. 

Champions League CONCACAF Pick: Cruz Azul -102 

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