The Boston Red Sox (0-2) and New York Yankees (2-0) put a lid on their season-opening three-game with a Sunday night tilt in the Bronx. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: The Yankees lead 2-0, winning Friday’s game 6-5 and Saturday’s contest 4-2.
The Red Sox beat the Yankees in an AL Wild Card game last season. Boston advanced to the AL Championship Series where it lost to the Houston Astros.
Including last year’s wild card setback, New York is 8-1 in the nine games against Boston.
Red Sox at Yankees: Projected starters
RHP Tanner Houck vs. LHP Jordan Montgomery
Houck (2021: 1-5, 3.52 ERA) returns for his third Major League season. In 2021, he notched a 1.13 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9, and 11.4 K/9 in 69 IP.
- Posted a 2.70 ERA in 13 1/3 IP against New York in 2021. Held Yankee batters to a .461 OPS.
- Walked 9 and struck out 17 in 15 spring training innings.
Montgomery (2021: 6-7, 3.83 ERA) makes his 2022 debut. He logged a 1.28 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9, and 9.3 K/9 through 157.1 IP last season.
- Has career .743 OPS allowed on the road and a .651 OPS at Yankee Stadium.
- Pitched five games against the Red Sox in 2021 and held them to a .634 OPS.
Red Sox at Yankees odds, spread and lines
- Money line: Red Sox +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-170) | Yankees -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)
Red Sox at Yankees prediction and picks
Prediction
Yankees 4, Red Sox 3
Money line
Bullpen depth and availability looms large in the analysis of this game. New York’s pen is a bit more taxed, but it’s the more talented group here and 1A closer Jonathan Loáisiga should be available.
Consider a partial-unit play on the YANKEES (-150). The market has moved toward New York in the morning, and that has taken some stream out of this play.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
Over/Under
Another game with a wind blowing out to center is in the forecast. But the temps will be lower, and both starters Sunday have some untapped upside. New York can falter at times against strikeout righties, and Houck does well to get ground balls. Montgomery does well to avoid barreled-up contact.
BACK THE UNDER 8.5 (-102).