THE LINES
The Duke Blue Devils (32-6, 16-4 ACC) and North Carolina Tar Heels (28-9, 15-5 ACC) square off in the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament on Saturday with a chance to play in the championship game up for grabs. The matchup tips off at 8:49 PM. Keep reading to find betting insights and statistics to help place a wager on the Blue Devils’ (-210 to win on the moneyline) game versus the Tar Heels (+171).
Duke Offense Vs. North Carolina Defense
| Duke Offense |
Stats (Rank) |
North Carolina Defense |
| 80.1 (8) |
Points/Gm |
71.1 (231) |
| 67.4 (204) |
Possessions/Game |
70.3 (257) |
| 49.3 (4) |
Field Goal % |
42.5 (135) |
| 37 (30) |
3PT % |
34 (215) |
| 56 (12) |
Effective FG % |
48.8 (140) |
| 59.1 (11) |
True Shooting % |
51.7 (137) |
North Carolina Offense Vs. Duke Defense
| North Carolina Offense |
Stats (Rank) |
Duke Defense |
| 78.1 (29) |
Points/Gm |
67.4 (126) |
| 69.9 (95) |
Possessions/Game |
67.7 (123) |
| 45.2 (109) |
Field Goal % |
41.7 (91) |
| 36.1 (54) |
3PT % |
31.8 (78) |
| 52 (99) |
Effective FG % |
47 (59) |
| 56.1 (69) |
True Shooting % |
49.2 (25) |
Duke Betting Insights
- Duke has covered 23 times in 38 chances against the spread this season.
- The Blue Devils have an ATS record of 18-14 when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites this season.
- Duke and its opponents have combined to go over the point total 21 out of 38 times this season.
- Duke and its opponents have gone over 150.5 combined points in 14 of 38 games this season.
- The average point total in Blue Devils contests this year is 145.4, 5.1 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
North Carolina Betting Insights
- North Carolina has put together a 20-16-1 ATS record so far this season.
- The Tar Heels are 3-1 ATS this year when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.
- A total of 21 North Carolina games this year have gone over the point total.
- North Carolina has combined with its opponent to score more than 150.5 points in 19 of 37 games this season.
- Tar Heels games this season have had an average of 147.4 points, 3.1 fewer points than this game’s total.
Duke Key Players
- The Blue Devils points and rebounds leader is Paolo Banchero. He averages 17.1 points per game and grabs 7.8 rebounds.
- Wendell Moore paces the team with 4.4 assists per game.
- AJ Griffin is the top three-point shooter for the Blue Devils, hitting 1.9 per game.
- Duke’s steals leader is Moore, who grabs 1.4 per game. Mark Williams leads the team averaging 2.9 blocks a game.
North Carolina Key Players
- Armando Bacot leads the team in both scoring (16.5 points per game) and rebounding (12.8 rebounds per game).
- The North Carolina leader in assists is Caleb Love with 3.7 assists per game.
- Brady Manek is tops from three-point range for the Tar Heels, hitting 2.5 treys per game.
- Nobody on North Carolina grabs more steals than RJ Davis (1.1 per game) or blocks more shots than Bacot (1.7 per game).
