Tampa Bay Downs doesn’t have a race with a massive purse on Saturday. What the racetrack does have is a card full of competitive turf races. Below, we analyze and make picks for 3 of those turf races. Check out top plays and Horse Racing Odds from Tampa Bay Downs for Saturday, April 4. You can also visit our Online Racebook to place your bets on active racetracks.
Tampa Bay Downs Horse Racing Picks
- When: Saturday, April 4 at 12:30 pm ET
- Where: Tampa, FL
- Weather: Partly Sunny
- Temperature: High 86 – Low 65
Tampa Bay Downs Picks for April 4
Race 3 – 1:30 pm ET – 5 Furlongs Turf –$16,000 Allowance Optional Claiming
Georgina Baxter trained I’m Cardinal might be the speed of the speed. The 10-year-old gelding raced for Gerald Bennett in its last. Before that, it ran for Baxter. Georgina is winning at 33% at the current meet. If Cardinal gets a nice break, the gelding could wave sayonara.
Jockey Antonio Gallardo takes the call above 5/2 morning line Horse Racing Odds chalk Midnight Blue Note. The Anthony Granitz runner hasn’t won since June 2019. But the Midnight Lute sired gelding did finish second at this level in its last. Overall, Blue Note has 12 second-place finishes from 42 starts.
Philosophy ran horribly first off the claim for trainer Kent Sweezy. But Philosophy won its next race, a $16K claiming race at Gulfstream. The 4-year-old produced a nice speed rating in the victory. If I’m Cardinal doesn’t break cleanly, Philosophy could be the gate-to-wire winner.
- Win: I’m Cardinal
- Place: Midnight Blue Note
- Show: Philosophy
Race 7 – 3:30 pm ET – 1 1/16 Miles Turf –$18,000 Allowance
There appears to be a ton of speed signed up for Race 7 at Tampa Bay on Saturday. That’s why a solid play for the win money is 8/1 on the morning line Agi’s Cat. The Michael Campbell trainee goes second time this year after almost getting the job done at a mile over Tampa’s lawn in early March. She should get a nice trip behind the front runners. If the trip is right, she can take this at big odds.
War Rose made a nice run first time against winners. That race was back in February. The Declaration of War runner lost by a nose at this distance over this lawn. The filly has worked 5 times since and trainer Jordan Blair wins 28% at the meet.
Trainer Brendan Walsh saddles Seranitsa. No doubt, that one has raced in much tougher races. But the last race happened in the fall. It was at Del Mar, which has a much different turf surface than Tampa Bay Downs. Better to wait and see how Seranitsa performs over the TB grass than to back this one with a winning wager.
- Win: Agi’s Cat
- Place: War Rose
- Show: Seranitsa
Race 8 – 4:00 pm ET – 1 1/16 Miles Turf –$10,000 Claiming
Gerald Bennett drops Completely Bonkers from the $25K level. Bonkers has a nice 3-2-1 record from 8 races over the Tampa Bay grass. Also, jockey Sammy Camacho is as good as it gets at TB. The Bennett runner could get lost in the betting, which is perfectly fine with us.
Trainer Darien Rodriguez puts on the fire sale with runner Astute Warrior. The Street Sense sired 7-year-old gelding dives from $25K claimers to this rock bottom $10K level. Warrior won at the $12.5K level at Penn National last August. So, in a way, this makes sense. Also, Rodriguez is 38% winners with equines down 2+ classes. Odds should drop from the morning line Horse Racing Odds, making this one a tough one to back for the victory.
Quality Step is another taking a huge drop. Keith Nations has won with just 9% runners this meet, though. It makes sense that Keith wants to score a win. If the 4-year-old gelding runs back to either one of its last two, Nations could get that long-sought “W”. Consider for the victory if the odds are right.
- Win: Completely Bonkers
- Place: Astute Warrior
- Show: Quality Step