Rory favorite, but money on DeChambeau in Mexico

Rory McIlroy has four consecutive top-five finishes to begin the season and is understandably the odds-on favorite entering this week’s WGC-Mexico Championship.

Dustin Johnson. (Michael Madrid-USA TODAY Sports)

McIlroy was tied for the lead at the Genesis Invitational last Sunday before a triple-bogey thwarted his hopes at Riviera. However, the world’s top-ranked player finished second in Mexico City last year and is +500 at FanDuel and +600 at DraftKings this week.

McIlroy’s odds strengthened with several top players opting to skip this week’s event, including No. 2 Brooks Koepka and No. 9 Tiger Woods. No. 6 Patrick Cantlay is out indefinitely because of upcoming surgery to fix a deviated septum.

Defending champion Dustin Johnson is +800 at both books despite suffering his own late meltdown at Riviera. He is a two-time winner and has posted 11 consecutive rounds in the 60s at Club de Golf Chapultepec.

FedEx Cup leader Justin Thomas and Spain’s Jon Rahm are +1000 at both books, followed by Webb Simpson at +1600 coming off his victory at the Phoenix Open earlier this month. FanDuel is also offering Adam Scott, a winner in his past two starts who won in Mexico City four years ago, at +1600.

The odds between the books begin to fluctuate at that point. Of interest is Bryson DeChambeau, who is +2800 at DraftKings but responsible for a field-high 9 percent of the handle as of Wednesday.

Among DraftKing’s numerous props are odds on how the tournament will be decided.

  • By a Playoff: Yes (+400), No (-715)
  • By a 3-Man Playoff: Yes (+1200)
  • By a 4-Man Playoff: Yes (+6600)
  • Winner to Birdie the 72nd hole: Yes (+334), No (-500)
  • Winner to Par the 72nd hole: Yes (-250), No (+175)
  • Winner to Bogey the 72nd hole: Yes (+500), No (-1000)
  • Wire-to-wire winner? Yes (+1000)

–Derek Harper (@DerekAHarper), Field Level Media


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