Saints vs Buccaneers 2019 NFL Week 11 Lines, Analysis & Prediction

On Sunday, Nov. 17, the New Orleans Saints look to bounce back from a stunning home loss. The Saints’ straight up loss to the Atlanta Falcons in Week 10 provided the biggest ATS NFL upset of the season. Will New Orleans get back to winning games both SU and against the spread? Or, will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers add to the Saints’ misery? See below for NFL odds, a preview and a free pick for Saints vs Buccaneers!

Saints vs Buccaneers 2019 NFL Week 11 Lines, Analysis & Prediction

Why the New Orleans Saints are a good bet -5 ½?

The Falcons beat New Orleans 26-9. Although it looks bad on paper, the Saints got caught up with the wrong game plan. Because Andrus Peat left the game early, New Orleans struggled to stop Atlanta’s pass rush. The Falcons sacked Drew Brees 6 times. The Saints will have a different game plan heading to Tampa. Either Peat plays, or Sean Payton puts together a plan that involves running towards the strength of the offensive line. Either way, the Saints should win and cover.

Team Statistics

  • Total Yards: 368
  • Passing Yards: 260.7
  • Rushing Yards: 107.3
  • Points Scored: 22.7
  • Total Yards: 316.6
  • Passing Yards: 225.8
  • Rushing Yards: 90.8
  • Points Allowed: 20.2

Why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are a good bet +5 ½?

Tampa Bay hosts the Saints after beating the Atlanta Falcons 30-27 in Week 10. The Bucs bring a ton of momentum to this game. In the past, Tampa Bay has challenged the Saints. This Sunday could be one of those moments where the underdog Buccaneers play way above expectations. Even if the Buccaneers don’t win straight up, they should cover the spread.

Team Statistics

  • Total Yards: 385.6
  • Passing Yards: 284.2
  • Rushing Yards: 101.3
  • Points Scored: 28.9
  • Total Yards: 376.7
  • Passing Yards: 298.9
  • Rushing Yards: 77.8
  • Points Allowed: 31

NFL Betting Trends for New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall
  • New Orleans is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss
  • Saints are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 road games
  • Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games
  • Tampa Bay is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss
  • Buccaneers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games on grass

Saints vs Buccaneers Final NFL Betting Analysis

Although Tampa Bay beat the Arizona Cardinals in Week 10, they didn’t cover. Tampa allowed the Cardinals to score 27 points. Albeit New Orleans looked terrible in the loss to Atlanta. But the Saints should make necessary adjustments to score more points on Sunday.

In addition, a few questionable calls went against New Orleans’ defense in the loss to the Falcons. Those calls shouldn’t happen again in Week 11. Finally, the Saints know they blew it versus Atlanta. They will want to make amends in this game. Back the Saints to win and cover.

NFL Free Pick: New Orleans Saints -5 ½

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