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2019 College Football Week 7 Odds, Overview & Picks

Pretty chalk weekend around NCAA Football in Week 6 so no major changes on the odds to win the national championship. Here are two games for College Football Week 7 that could have College Football Playoff implications.

2019 College Football Week 7 Odds, Overview & Picks

Florida State at No. 2 Clemson (-26)

  • When: Saturday, 3:30 PM ET
  • TV: ABC
  • Live Stream: ABC Go

Used to be the ACC’s best rivalry but Florida State has fallen on hard times and Clemson is now miles ahead as witnessed by last year’s 59-10 blowout win in Tallahassee. Trevor Lawrence threw four touchdown passes, and the Tigers handed Florida State its worst home loss in program history. It was also the most points allowed by the Seminoles at Doak Campbell Stadium. No ACC team had ever knocked off the Noles four years in a row until Clemson did last year.

In addition, Clemson is riding an 18-game home winning streak. FSU knows how hard it is to play there, having won in “Death Valley” just three times in the last 20 years (1999, 2001 and 2013).

FSU has been off since beating NC State 31-13 on Sept. 28. Starting in place of the injured James Blackman, quarterback Alex Hornibrook threw for 316 yards and three touchdowns for the Seminoles. The Noles have won consecutive ACC games for the first time in nearly three years.

Some Numbers

FSU’s offense is averaging 33.2 points per game, has finished short of the 30-point mark just once and has one of the nation’s leading rushers in junior Cam Akers. NC State’s 13 points last week were the fewest for an FSU opponent since Southern Mississippi in the 2017 Independence Bowl (also 13), and the Seminoles have vaulted 62 places in the national run defense rankings – up from 121st three weeks ago to 59th after limiting the Wolfpack to 88 rushing yards. Not yet clear if Blackman will play this week or if he even still has the starting job.

Clemson also last played on Sept. 28, beating North Carolina 21-20. The Tigers stopped North Carolina on a two-point conversion attempt with less than two minutes remaining. Trevor Lawrence connected with Tee Higgins on a 38-yard touchdown with nine minutes remaining in the fourth quarter to give the Tigers their first lead of the game. Lawrence finished 18-30 passing for 206 yards and a career best 45 rushing yards. Higgins hauled in six receptions for 129 receiving yards and a touchdown. The close call knocked Clemson from No. 1 in the polls, though.

No. 6 Oklahoma vs. No. 11 Texas (+10)

Game of the Year in the Big 12 and per usual held at the neutral-site Cotton Bowl in Dallas. These schools split last year. Texas pulled the regular season upset but then Oklahoma got payback in the Big 12 title game. Decent chance they play in this year’s conference title game too as both will be favored in games the rest of the regular season.

Oklahoma is off a 45-20 win at Kansas. Heisman Trophy hopeful Jalen Hurts threw for 228 yards and two touchdowns while running for two more. Rhamondre Stevenson added 109 yards rushing and a score on just five carries. It was OU’s 22nd straight true road win, the second-longest streak since at least World War II in major college football. Bud Wilkinson’s Sooners won 25 from 1953-58.

OU has won 36 of its last 38 games (.947) against Big 12 opponents dating back to the 2015 season. Twenty-one of those 36 victories have been by at least 15 points. The Sooners have scored at least 34 points in 15 consecutive games (and in 26 of the last 27 outings). It is the longest streak in school history and tied for the third longest nationally since at least 1980.

By holding Kansas to 20 points, Oklahoma extended its streak of limiting opponents to 20 or fewer points to four games. It’s the longest same-season streak since 2006 when the Sooners beat Iowa State 34-9, Colorado 24-3, No. 23 Missouri 26-10 and No. 21 Texas A&M 17-16 in consecutive games.

What about the Longhorns?

Texas was a 42-31 winner Saturday at West Virginia. The Longhorns defense intercepted four passes that led to a total of 21 points. The Longhorns’ four interceptions marked the first time that UT has picked off four passes in a game since the Horns did so at Kansas on Sept. 27, 2014 (64 games).

Sam Ehlinger accounted for four total touchdowns (2 rush/2 pass) for the fourth time this season and the eighth time in his career. Roschon Johnson recorded the first 100-yard game of his career, as he finished with career highs in carries (21) and rushing yards (121).

Oklahoma enters the game with a 76.1 percent chance to win the Big 12 Conference, according to ESPN’s FPI rankings. Texas only has a 9.9 percent chance to win the conference.

Expert College Football Week 7 Betting Picks

We like both underdogs to cover.

 

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