Mississippi State vs Auburn 2019 College Football Week 5 Odds & Expert Pick

At the start of the college football season, we have the top 25 teams ranked and ready to go. We are all well aware that those rankings will not stay the same for very long, though, as most teams at the top are going to take a hit or two along the way. You can argue about who has the most pressure during the course of a season; is it the top 4 teams or is it the teams in the chasing pack trying to break in. The top 4 will almost certainly hold their spot if they can remain unbeaten, while the teams on the outside looking in need to win and hope for some upsets along the way.

As it stands now, the Auburn Tigers are making a move up the rankings, going from #16 at the start of the season all the way up to the #7 spot. They have a brutal schedule still to come, with their home tilt versus the Mississippi State Bulldogs being the first of many tough games in the coming weeks. Auburn are favored by 10 points at home, with the point total set at 46 ½.

Mississippi State vs Auburn 2019 College Football Week 5 Odds & Expert Pick

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USC vs Washington 2019 College Football Week 5 Spread & Betting Analysis

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 31°C/88°F
  • Humidity: 54%
  • Precipitation: 2%
  • Cloud Cover: 35%
  • Wind: 5 mph ENE
  • Stadium Type: Open

Why bet on the Mississippi State Bulldogs?

<p class=""The Mississippi State Bulldogs head into the hostile environment of Jordan-Hare Stadium with a 3-1 record on the season and an offense that has been humming along quite nicely. The Bulldogs took this regular season meeting last year but playing Auburn at home is a whole lot different than playing them on the road.

Last year may be viewed as a bit of an aberration by some, as the Bulldogs have managed just 5 wins in their last 18 meetings with the Tigers. Where they have been a good bet against Auburn is against the spread, covering in 5 of their last 7 meetings. They are also a rather solid 13-7 ATS in their last 20 games played in the month of September.

Team Stats


  • Points per Game: 33.33
  • Passing Yards: 187.67
  • Rushing Yards: 224.00
  • Yards per Play: 6.08


  • Points per Game: 24.67
  • Passing Yards: 208.00
  • Rushing Yards: 140.00
  • Yards per Play: 5.74

Why bet on the Auburn Tigers?

<p class=""Auburn head coach Gus Malzahn came into this season on a bit of a hot seat after his team had something of a down year in 2018. Despite needing to make a QB change in the opening week of the season, the Tigers have managed to get out to a 4-0 start, taking down Oregon and Texas A&M in that run.

Mississippi State vs Auburn is going to be a close one.

They are about to get into the meat of their ASEC schedule in the next few weeks, though, which is where we will find out if they are a legitimate playoff contender. Home has certainly been where the heart is for Auburn, winning 18 of their last 20 in their own building. In games played in September, the Tigers have covered the spread in 4 of the last 5.

Team Stats


  • Points per Game: 35.33
  • Passing Yards: 183.33
  • Rushing Yards: 281.67
  • Yards per Play: 5.91


  • Points per Game: 14.33
  • Passing Yards: 191.33
  • Rushing Yards: 100.67
  • Yards per Play: 4.34

Virginia vs Notre Dame 2019 College Football Week 5 Lines & Game Prediction

Mississippi State vs Auburn College Football Week 5 Betting Trends

  • Bulldogs are 5-13 SU in their last 18 games against Auburn
  • Bulldogs are 13-7 ATS in their last 20 games played in September
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State’s last 5 games on the road
  • Tigers are 18-2 SU in their last 20 games at home
  • Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played in September
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Auburn’s last 10 games played in week 5

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Mississippi State vs Auburn

<p class=""If you look at the trends of both of these teams, all signs would appear to point towards the UNDER, but I think that the OVER is the way to go here. I believe that this might be the most entertaining game on the schedule on Saturday, and while I think Auburn will win, I’m going with the Bulldogs to cover.

Score: Mississippi State Bulldogs 28 – Auburn Tigers 35


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