One of the fun aspects of wagering on sports is trying to make sense of the unpredictable nature of the games that we choose to wager on. Sometimes, it’s knowing which games to avoid that helps you win, as opposed to jumping all over games that look to be sure winners. There really is no such thing as a sure win, as there are just too many factors that go into a single game for that to be the case. This is especially true in baseball, where a single timely hit or a poorly thrown ball can quickly alter the outcome of any game.
If any team in the MLB could be labeled as predictable this season, it would almost certainly be the LA Dodgers. They continue to churn out wins at an alarming rate, and in series that they are expected to win comfortably, they very often do just that. It is perhaps not that surprising then that they would be coming into this one with the opportunity to sweep the Toronto Blue Jays. They come into the final game of this interleague series favored by 1 ½, with the run total set at 9 ½.
Blue Jays vs Dodgers MLB Betting Lines & Expert Pick
- When: Thursday, August 22 at 10:10 PM EST
- Where: Dodger Stadium, LA
- Starting Pitchers: Waguespack vs. Maeda
- TV: MLB Extra Innings
- Radio: SiriusXM
- Live Stream: MLB.tv
- MLB Betting Lines: Los Angeles Dodgers -235 (Total 9.5)
- Sunny: 24°C/76°F
- Humidity: 59%
- Precipitation: 0%
- Cloud Cover: 7%
- Wind: 7 mph S
- Stadium Type: Open
Why bet on the Toronto Blue Jays?
The Toronto Blue Jays have now seen first-hand the many different ways in which the LA Dodgers can beat a team. The Blue Jays were absolutely pounded in the opening game of this series, going down 16-3 in a game that was over before it barely even began. They were then very competitive in the second game of the series, yet still managed to go down 2-1 in a pitcher’s duel.
Those losses now mean that the Jays are losers of 4 straight games and are now just 4-6 in their last 10 outings. They were able to cover the spread in their Wednesday night loss and have been a decent bet as a road dog, going 30-24 ATS in those outings. The Blue Jays will have Jacob Waguespack (4-1, 4.20 ERA) on the mound for this one.
- Runs: 4.53
- Hits: 8.08
- Walks: 3.09
- Strike Outs: 9.10
- Runs: 5.05
- Hits: 9.02
- Walks: 3.69
- Strike Outs: 8.12
Why bet on the LA Dodgers?
With the New York Yankees having an off series against the Oakland A’s, the LA Dodgers have now moved ahead of them for the most wins in the current MLB season. With their back to back wins over the Toronto Blue Jays, the Dodgers have now moved to 84-44 on the season, which includes an almost ridiculously good 50-16 record in their own ballpark.
They are going to be the #1 seed in the National League heading into the postseason, which will give them home field advantage and a clear path to their 3rd straight World Series appearance. The Dodgers are now 7-3 SU in their last 10 games, and you really need to like their chances of picking up the sweep here. It will be Kenta Maeda (8-8, 4.18 ERA) getting the start.
- Runs: 5.58
- Hits: 8.90
- Walks: 3.90
- Strike Outs: 8.17
- Runs: 3.83
- Hits: 7.55
- Walks: 2.34
- Strike Outs: 9.10
Blue Jays vs Dodgers MLB Betting Trends
- Blue Jays are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games on the road
- The total has gone OVER in 13 of Toronto’s last 20 games against an opponent in the National League
- Dodgers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games at home
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers’ last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
- Blue Jays are 33-53 against the money line against right-handed starters this season
- Dodgers are 84-44 against the money line in all games this season
- Maeda is 0-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.000
Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction
The Blue Jays have a very good young pitcher on the mound for this one, but Waguespack is going to be seriously put to the test here. This might be another close one, but I like the Dodgers to continue to truck along.
Score: Toronto Blue Jays 3 – LA Dodgers 5