It’s the time of the season when teams need to start thinking about whether to buy or sell when the trade deadline rolls around. There are some decisions that are going to be easier than others. On the buying side of the coin, you will have teams who are almost definitely going to be playoff pound looking to strengthen the bench or plug some holes where they have a perceived weakness. On the selling side of the equation, the decision for a lot of teams is whether to blow things up completely and start a rebuild or to make some moves that might make them better looking ahead to next season.
One team that could potentially fall into the latter category is the San Diego Padres. They spent some money in the offseason to try and challenge this year, but it has not played out as expected. They will be up against another likely seller on Wednesday night when they go head to head with the New York Mets. The Mets are favored by 1 ½ in this one, with the run total set at 8 ½.
Padres vs Mets MLB Odds, Game Info & Prediction
- When: Wednesday, July 24 at 7:10 PM EST
- Where: Citi Field, NYC
- Starting Pitchers: Lamet vs. Syndergaard
- TV: MLB Extra Innings
- Live Stream: MLB.tv
- Radio: 104.5 ESPN
- MLB Odds: New York Mets -165 (Total 8.5)
Why bet on the San Diego Padres?
The NL West has been a bit of a weird division to follow this season, simply because it has been totally dominated by the LA Dodgers from the opening pitch. Their cause has certainly been helped by the fact that the 4 other teams in the division have failed to maintain any level of consistency. The Padres are currently sitting at the bottom of the heap, 18 ½ games off the pace at 47-53.
The Padres are on a really poor run of form, going 2-8 in their last 10 games, with one of those losses coming at the hands of the Mets in the opening game of this series. While the Padres are 21-13 ATS as a road dog, they have only managed to cover the spread in 3 of their last 10 games overall. It will be Dinelson Lamet (0-2, 5.14 ERA) who gets the start here.
- Runs: 4.43
- Hits: 8.15
- Walks: 2.95
- Strike Outs: 9.67
- Runs: 4.89
- Hits: 8.70
- Walks: 2.58
- Strike Outs: 8.79
Why bet on the New York Mets?
There is a definite sense that the New York Mets might be in the seller’s market when the trade deadline comes around, as they have been heading in the wrong direction for a few seasons now. The Mets are currently 46-54 on the season and are sitting 13 games off the pace being set by the Atlanta Braves at the top of the NL East.
While it has been a poor season for the Mets to this point, they still remain tough to beat in their own ballpark, going 24-19 at Citi Field. The season series between these two is tied at 2-2, with 2 games still to play. Of late, the Mets have been a solid ATS pick, covering in each of their last 3 games and 7 of their last 10. They will have Noah Syndergaard (6-4, 4.47 ERA) on the mound for this one.
- Runs: 4.71
- Hits: 8.85
- Walks: 3.17
- Strike Outs: 8.94
- Runs: 5.00
- Hits: 8.94
- Walks: 3.30
- Strike Outs: 9.21
Padres vs Mets MLB Betting Trends
- Padres are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego’s last 5 games this season
- Mets are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games played in July
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets’ last 7 games this season
- Padres are 22-16 against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season
- Mets are 46-54 against the money line in all games this season
- Lamet is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.000
- Syndergaard is 1-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 4.88 and a WHIP of 1.292
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Padres vs Mets
Given the way that both of these teams are playing at the moment, I believe that the Mets are a very good pick here. I like them to win and cover the spread, with the run total going OVER.
Score: San Diego Padres 4 – New York Mets 6