Manny Pacquiao hopes to rediscover his past glory when he enters the ring to face undefeated Keith Thurman at the MGM Grand Garden on Saturday, July 20. Pac shows up the slight favorite to beat the younger Thurman. Will Pacquiao reward his backers? Or, will Thurman take the victory? Check out the Pacquiao vs Thurman odds, analysis, and a free pick!
Pacquiao vs Thurman 2019 Boxing Odds, Preview & Pick
- When: Saturday, July 20
- Where: MGM Grand Garden, Las Vegas, NV
- TV: FOX Sports Pay-Per-View
- Moneyline Odds: Manny Pacquiao -155, Keith Thurman +125
- Live Stream: Fox Sports Live
Why Manny Pacquiao is a good bet at -155?
- 61-7-2, 39 KOs
Although Manny Pacquiao is considered an old man in boxing, he’s 40, amazingly, he’s maintained his hand speed. That’s key for an aggressive fighter like Pacquiao because he must get his shots off while he moves forward before his opponent can counter.
Hand speed is why boxing handicappers should consider backing Pacquiao. We know Manny is going to be aggressive. He knows no other way to fight. That means, he’ll have the advantage if either Thurman can’t get his feet in position for a counter punch or if Thurman’s reaction time is too slow before Pacquiao hits him with his devastating straight left.
Form Last 5
- W-UD vs Adrien Broner
- W-TKO vs Lucas Matthysse
- L-UD vs Jeff Horn
- W-UD vs Jessie Vargas
- W-UD vs Timothy Bradley
Why Keith Thurman is a good bet at +125?
- 29-0-0, 22 KOs
Fighters go undefeated for a reason. Keith Thurman is undefeated. More importantly? He’s undefeated after fighting top-notch competition. Anybody who can handle both Shawn Porter and Danny Garcia knows how to box.
The key for Thurman against Pacquiao is to remain patient. Thurman was ultra-aggressive versus Danny Garcia in the early rounds of that fight. It worked versus Garcia because Danny wanted to take his time and figure Keith out. Later on in the fight, Garcia came on because Thurman took his foot off the pedal.
He must keep his foot off the pedal in this fight. Thurman must maintain his distance and counter when Manny’s overly aggressive. If Keith does that, he can upset the older, more experienced, fighter.
Form Last 5
- W-MD vs Josesito Lopez
- W-SD vs Danny Garcia
- W-UD vs Shawn Porter
- W-RTD vs Luis Collazo
- W-UD vs Robert Guerrero
Manny Pacquiao vs Keith Thurman Betting Trends
- Manny Pacquiao has gone 4-1 SU in his last 5 fights
- Manny Pacquiao is 7-3 SU in his last 10 fights
- Decision is 4-1 in Pacquiao’s last 5 fights
- Keith Thurman is 5-0 SU in his last 5 fights
- Decision is 4-1 in Thurman’s last 5 fights
- KO/TKO is 2-8 in Thurman’s last 10 fights
Pacquaio vs Thurman Boxing Betting Analysis
Sounds crazy because Thurman is younger and undefeated, but Pacquiao’s got some advantages that Thurman doesn’t possess. Pacquiao’s the faster fighter. He’s more aggressive and his motor doesn’t stop. He forces opponents to either fight his style, or to spend the night playing defense.
When Keith Thurman tried to protect his lead against Danny Garcia, he almost lost it. One of the reasons is because at this level, you must throw punches and control the ring to win fights. You can’t just play possum ala Floyd Mayweather Jr. and hope to score victories. That doesn’t work in boxing anymore.
Thurman also has a tendency to over extend himself when he punches. He can’t do that against Pacquiao because Manny will move his head to the side or dip under the punch and then land a straight right or straight left.
This boxing match should be a chess match. If Thurman uses his jab and keeps Pacquiao away from him, he’ll have a chance at the win. It’s difficult to see Keith doing that, though. It’s just not in his nature. It’s more likely that Thurman tries to be as aggressive as Pacquiao, which should lead to a Manny victory. Pacquiao can get inside of Thurman’s looping punches and score points. Pacquiao is the fighter to back.
Boxing Match Pick: Manny Pacquiao -155