Marlins vs Cubs MLB Lines, Preview & Pick

Winning a World Series is one of the toughest things to do in sports. Not only do you need to survive a grueling 162-game schedule, but you also need to navigate the playoffs and play near perfect baseball from start to finish. It’s one of the reasons why we seldom see teams win back to back anymore, although the huge amount of money and player movement in the game also plays a role.

The LA Dodgers have been arguably the most consistent team in the game over the last 2 years, getting to the World Series twice, but failing to win on both occasions. The Chicago Cubs won it a few years ago, ending a streak of futility that stretched back decades, but they have not been able to get back to the World Series since then. This is still a very good team, though, and they look like a legitimate challenger again this season. The Cubs and Marlins have split the first 2 games of this 4-game series, so let’s look at Game 3, where the Cubs are favored by 1 ½ and the run total is set at 8.

Marlins vs Cubs MLB Lines, Preview & Pick

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Why bet on the Miami Marlins?

The Miami Marlins have been an absolute disaster in the early going, although it has to be said that their inability to win games through this point has not really come as a surprise to anyone. The Marlins are 10-25 on the season, which has them already sitting 10 games off the pace in the NL East. A quick look at their stats shows where their main issue can be found, which is an inability to drive home runs.

They have scored just 99 runs on the season and are the only team in the MLB not to have cracked the 100-run mark. With that in mind, it may come as a surprise to learn that 6 of their last 10 games have gone OVER the run total. The Marlins will send Jose Urena (1-5, 5.45 ERA) to the mound for this one.

Team Stats

Offense

  • Runs: 2.83
  • Hits: 7.26
  • Walks: 2.51
  • Strike Outs: 9.03

Defense

  • Runs: 4.97
  • Hits: 8.29
  • Walks: 3.86
  • Strike Outs: 9.06

Why bet on the Chicago Cubs?

The Cubs got off to a very poor start in the opening couple of weeks, but it’s more than fair to suggest that they have righted the ship at this point. They are now 20-13 overall and have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games. That run has taken them all the way to the top of the NL Central, although the Cubs are just a half game up on the St. Louis Cardinals.

Marlins vs Cubs should be an easy victory for Chicago.

It is perhaps not that surprising that the Cubs have been very good at Wrigley Field, going 11-5 through their 16 home games this season. This team has found a very nice balance and are leading the way in run differential in the NL at +53. The Cubs will send Kyle Hendricks (2-4, 3.93 ERA) to the mound for this one.

Team Stats

Offense

  • Runs: 5.85
  • Hits: 8.82
  • Walks: 4.52
  • Strike Outs: 9.12

Defense

  • Runs: 4.24
  • Hits: 7.94
  • Walks: 4.00
  • Strike Outs: 9.12

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Marlins vs Cubs MLB Betting Trends

  • Marlins are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games this season
  • Cubs are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the National League
  • Cubs are 874-802 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs’ last 5 games at home

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Marlins vs Cubs

The Marlins sprung a bit of a surprise by winning the opening game of this series, but I have a tough time seeing them winning another in the final two games. With that in mind, I have the Cubs winning and covering on Wednesday night.

Score: Miami Marlins 2 – Chicago Cubs 6